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To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/5/1998 5:33:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Respond to of 27307
 
Bill, that's quite a list. Congrats on your realized profits and I sincerely hope you get a VERY good buying opportunity before long.

Here are a few more for you list:

Word that the Fed may be considering raising margin requirements,

Threat of higher interest rates in Germany,

Riots in Indonesia,

And, "The Sign of the Bear" (see "Bearon's").

Regards,
Bob



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/5/1998 5:45:00 PM
From: The Vinman  Respond to of 27307
 
William, I thought you were an eternal YHOO bull. You probably made a good decision. The bounce in the sector after the latest leg down is probably over for now and more downside could be in the offing. All the deals YHOO/MCI, LCOS/T, and XCIT/NSCP have been announced and that will probably be about it for a while. The interest speculation will continue, and Mark Mobius sees a second leg down in Asia in the near term. Advance/decline line looks bleak at the moment....not to mention the Nasdaq is up 20% YTD...how much higher can it go?

Good Luck

Vinman



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/5/1998 6:33:00 PM
From: Sonny Blue  Respond to of 27307
 
William, everything? Are you serious? You should do like Steve Jobs - at least keep one share of YAHOO as a reminder of the great run of the internet stocks in 1998. I got out 2 weeks ago and still waiting to see if Yahoo can get back to its old high... It's getting harder everyday...



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/5/1998 6:35:00 PM
From: Michael Collings  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
William:

No you can't take the early bird insignia, I've been out of the market for over two weeks now. I've been watching the advance decline and numerous other indicators for months and I am always early usually several months. But I always think its better to walk out the door than fight my way to the door with a paniced crowd.

I'll give up the last few hundred points every time!

Congrats again on your great call on these stocks!



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/5/1998 7:26:00 PM
From: David L.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
Just a break in the bull market are you expecting the market to go
straight up



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/7/1998 11:28:00 PM
From: Michael Collings  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 27307
 
>There are enough things bothering me to have made the decision:

Deteriorating MACD (possible second rally failure) for the S&P 100 & 500 Indices.

Transportation average broke its 50-day on April 27, rallied back up to it and looks like it's breaking down and away.

Utility average making lower highs and lows.

Asian markets weakening again.

Microsoft taking the Windows 98 issue to the streets.

Internet stocks resisting good news.

Quality stocks I want to own (but don't) are suddenly in decline for no fundamental reasons(one of the best sell indicators I've ever known.)

Financial stocks possibly rolling over.

US Dollar breaking down.

Finally, a short-term double-top in the major averages intra-day yesterday, confirmed today.<

So something has changed? There are a lot more indicators than this that show some serious problems with this market. Or are you now just playing the bounces? Dangerous game you are playing..... I'll stay short!



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (10735)5/21/1998 12:41:00 PM
From: Curlton Latts  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27307
 
Bill H:>>. I did this in December, 1996, and August, 1997, and the tops in my groups came a month later each time.<<<<

Bill you did make the call in Aug 1997 and I still remember it like it was only yesterday. However, you'll have to admit that notwithstanding your accuracy with respect to tech the NASDAQ today is still north of 1800 while in Aug 1997 it was 1600 and change.

You might be right again - but come some time in the future with NASDAQ 2000 will you have timed the buy back such that you didn't get left behind. Also, the commission costs tend to eat you up with these buy backs-liquidations-buybacks-liquidations.

You might be right again here - only time will tell. I have yet to ever meet someone who could make money playing a market timing style.

Good Luck To each And All

Curly

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