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Technology Stocks : TAVA Technologies (TAVA-NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Craig Rogers who wrote (16560)5/12/1998 12:40:00 PM
From: michael tantleff  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 31646
 
i am impressed with the state of tava per the cc. the stock with a 260million dollar market cap doing 60 to 100 million in sales going forward is not that cheap. large contract wins with major companies will be the only driving force on this. i think the stock will be between 12 1/2 to 16 this year.



To: Craig Rogers who wrote (16560)5/12/1998 12:43:00 PM
From: James Strauss  Respond to of 31646
 
Craig:

What happened today is great news for TAVA shareholders... We've seen the worst of what could happen to the stock price... That may very well be one of the last buying oppty's below 13.00 we'll see...

In a few days the NMS listing becomes effective... My crystal Ball shows a flood of buying on increased volume... Some very good things are being said on the Conference Call today... Big Revenue increases at higher margins are anticipated... The focus should not be on daily price fluctuations, but on the weeks and months ahead... Be on the lookout for major name associations...

Jim



To: Craig Rogers who wrote (16560)5/12/1998 12:49:00 PM
From: M. Frank Greiffenstein  Read Replies (8) | Respond to of 31646
 
Is the CD-ROM dead?

I am not sure why some of you are partying. Reading between the lines of the news release, it seems the expected revenues and fat margins from CD-ROM sales are evaporating.

Read this from the PR:
<<Most new clients are moving directly to adopting comprehensive programs and by-passing the pilot stage that had been a typical program element to date. The costly 'awareness building' element of our sales and marketing program will be significantly reduced in this
and subsequent quarters with those resources re-directed to closing additional specific programs and growing core business
relationships with our new clients. >>

Doesn't this mean that companies aren't buying the front end analytic services? If you combine this paragraph with recent news of poor sell-through of CD through Wonderware, can't we conclude that y2k software sales are falling far short of expectation?

Read on:

<<''Development of PlantY2K One(TM) Rev. 2.0 was completed in late April. With Rev. 2.0 complete, no further major
development effort will be directed to anything other than continued expansion of the vendor management database. The
company's product development resources have been re-directed to programs put on hold during the Y2K ramp up and new
programs that have grown out of the Y2K engagement experience. >>

No further development of software tools? Moving away from y2k products? y2k being spoken of in the past tense?? Sounds like TAVA is moving away from y2k and re-focussing on non-y2k stuff, whatever form that takes.

This was supposed to be the quarter where TAVA shoots out the y2k lights. they barely managed to eke out a top line gain over 1997. And software sales grew **only 20%** from a very small base.

I sold the remainder of my TAVA today. TAVA will continue to grow, but the fantastic returns are simply not there. TAVA is now overvalued, the exicting aspect of the investment thesis is gone.

DocStone