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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Mansfield who wrote (1833)5/15/1998 4:42:00 PM
From: Paul van Wijk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
 
John,

Because I STRONGLY believe we are in the RED ALERT phase
last week I bought puts on the AEX july 1998.
Strike-price 960, current level 1170.

I'm very conservative and try avoid downside-risk as
much as possible. But 10% of money is at this moment
in far out of the money puts.

I'm monitoring the news about Y2k in the mainstream
press on a daily basis. The number of press-releases,
the estimated costs, the hearings in the Congres,
they are all increasing rapidly. This weekend G8
with Y2k high on the agenda.

No way the bourses will hold much longer. Please
read on of my earlier postings about the 0-10%,
10-90% theory.

BTW I'm posting about Y2k on a dutch stock-thread.
Week 1; Laughter by almost every thread-member
Week 2; People begged me to stop posting about Y2k.
Week 3; Silence
Week 4; 1 person started taking me serious
Week 5; I posted my analysis why I think Y2k will
cause a drop of 30% of the dutch stock-market
(conservative estimate).
My biggest criticaster replied that from now on
he was convinced
Week 6; More than 50% of the postings is about Y2k
Everyone is taking me serious now. I can post the
biggest horror stories. No laughter, not one.

Maybe this helps understanding the 0-10 10-90 rule.

Paul




To: John Mansfield who wrote (1833)5/16/1998 10:57:00 AM
From: John Mansfield  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
 
[PC] Y2k article in Dr Dobbs, magazine for PC software

ddj.com