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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Don Earl who wrote (22125)5/19/1998 5:03:00 PM
From: EPS  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42771
 
Hi Don,

Well if you consider today slow
wait to see what happens tomorrow...

Good action today.. more analysts coming out
with upgrades.. market seems to have confidence
that NOVL will hit the numbers. Could it be that
we will see a GAP tomorrow?

Cheers!

Victor



To: Don Earl who wrote (22125)5/20/1998 10:39:00 AM
From: Paul Fiondella  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
(Off Topic) Market timing

On Gold.
Its just under $300, my entry point. An opportunity to take a short term profit happened last month. I'm watching to see how much lower it will go before adding to my initial position.
Dwight got in last Fall during the market down swing and you might ask him whether he sold into the rally.



To: Don Earl who wrote (22125)5/26/1998 10:47:00 AM
From: Paul Fiondella  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
A trading strategy for NOVL that seems to work

In the past we have had the run up to earnings, a week before the date, pushing the price up followed by the sell-off. Was this time different?

Yes. Biggest change has been the brokers buying into the stock, in anticipation of or dreaming about a "turnaround". Since we know market psychology is more important than fundamentals, Novell got good hype. Even now after the numbers it is a "hold".

So the sell-off waited until the earnings this time (usually it doesn't)to see if there was an upside surprise.

A trading strategy that seemed to work for this situation. Buy out of the money Calls to protect against the upside surprise and sell the stock short at the best price as close to the runup to earnings date as possible.

Any comments?