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To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (43828)5/23/1998 8:04:00 PM
From: Lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Hi Jim,..Re:<< It's not tied so closely in most cases it can be 4 to 6 months or more before the effects come home,>>

I agree and from the looks of the daily June S&P we have maybe a week to reach the apex. Also, based on the most recent API report, we've a huge supply problem right now.

barchart.com

api.org

I also strongly agree that the dollar is the critical variable right now, both because of the EMU and also because of our increasing trade deficit. The constant rumors about the Bundesbank raising short term rates has a lot to do with the current politics surrounding the EMU.

Regards,

Lee

forgot to add the $index
tfc-charts.w2d.com



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (43828)5/24/1998 1:13:00 AM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
<believe me the European powers would love to kill the dollar.>

This sounds unlikely because of the effect on trade. Why do you think the Euros want the Greenback lower? The break in equilibrium would adversely affect everyone's markets, to my way of thinking.