SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: peter n matzke who wrote (43865)5/26/1998 12:07:00 PM
From: Stoctrash  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
It's like $3K/month....+ you need a Sun Workstation, etc etc...if you want it on site. I'm trying via the net...should be neat...havent got the PW to work yet so maybe I don't get to try :-((

edit: DAMN...still cannot get it!!

ok...finally in...

here is a sample:
Logical Information Machines, Inc.


[Home] [Stocks] [Bonds] [FX] [Agriculture] [Metals] [Energy] [Astrology]

[Europe] [Asia] [Today's Idea] [Daily Numbers] [Archive] [Lounge]


4/21/98
Fact: Over the past two weeks, the S&P 500 is virtually unchanged. This seems odd considering that we have seen major international markets like FTSE, NIKKEI, and Dollar-Yen trade with an unusual amount of volatility.
Q: Are there any implications for the long term investor when the S&P is steady over a two-week period while various other global markets move dramatically? If so, what S&P groups perform the best/worst over the next year?

A: Stocks like Coke, Pepsi and Kimberly Clark help their respective S&P groups (Soft drinks and Household Products respectively) outperform the overall S&P 500. S&P autos are the worst performers against the overall index.



Execution Units: Weekly

First Value in 1 year

LET


ATTR theSec = (BEVSOFT / SPX) * 100, (AUTOS / SPX) * 100, (HOUSPRD / SPX)
* 100, KMB, KO, PEP

SHOW
1: percent_move from today to 3 months later of theSec
2: percent_move from today to 6 months later of theSec
3: percent_move from today to 1 year later of theSec
WHEN
2 week percent_move of SPX is less than 0.1
AND
2 week percent_move of SPX is more than -0.1
AND {
1 week percent_move of NIKKEI is less than -4
OR
1 week percent_move of FTSE is less than -3
OR
1 week percent_move of JPY is more than 2
OR
2 week percent_move of DEM is less than -2
OR
1 week percent_move of DJTA is more than 4
OR
2 week percent_move of SI is less than -5 }


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let variable values:
theSec = (BEVSOFT / SPX) * 100

Date Day _3M _6M _1Y

10/14/1966 Fri 16.0020 21.3445 27.2312
08/13/1971 Fri 13.6740 11.6082 23.2261
06/01/1973 Fri 1.3912 -3.0734 -16.7395
07/15/1977 Fri 10.8431 9.7198 16.2814
10/03/1980 Fri -2.5939 12.4771 19.3492
03/22/1985 Fri 0.6805 3.2547 20.7352
11/21/1986 Fri 7.6860 -2.6173 13.3787
07/29/1988 Fri 15.9137 9.6024 34.8020
06/15/1990 Fri 11.4486 18.7442 15.1213
02/21/1992 Fri 14.4882 13.8506 7.5813
04/15/1994 Fri -5.8334 7.0248 15.8151
08/18/1995 Fri 7.7148 11.2032 26.8229
10/25/1996 Fri 3.0019 5.0148 -12.8905
04/17/1998 Fri NaN NaN NaN

Avg 7.2628 9.0887 14.6703
AvgPos 9.3495 11.2586 20.0313
AvgNeg -4.2136 -2.8454 -14.8150
PctPos 84.6154 84.6154 84.6154
PctNeg 15.3846 15.3846 15.3846
Maximum 16.0020 21.3445 34.8020
Minimum -5.8334 -3.0734 -16.7395
StdDev 7.3022 7.2394 14.8460
ZStat 0.9946 1.2554 0.9882
Variance 53.3222 52.4092 220.4024

14 Occurrences


Let variable values:
theSec = KO

Date Day _3M _6M _1Y

06/01/1973 Fri 3.0165 -5.1187 -21.6637
07/15/1977 Fri -3.1544 -10.4098 5.6782
10/03/1980 Fri 2.2641 11.6982 4.9058
03/22/1985 Fri 4.4944 1.4983 54.8689
11/21/1986 Fri 25.0858 9.6220 9.2782
07/29/1988 Fri 11.7264 19.8696 65.4721
06/15/1990 Fri -9.4444 5.5556 24.7222
02/21/1992 Fri 11.8483 8.0569 5.5292
04/15/1994 Fri 7.6190 28.5714 47.6190
08/18/1995 Fri 19.0476 27.7778 64.2857
10/25/1996 Fri 14.5363 18.5464 11.2782
04/17/1998 Fri NaN NaN NaN

Avg 7.9127 10.5152 24.7249
AvgPos 11.0710 14.5773 29.3638
AvgNeg -6.2994 -7.7643 -21.6637
PctPos 81.8182 81.8182 90.9091
PctNeg 18.1818 18.1818 9.0909
Maximum 25.0858 28.5714 65.4721
Minimum -9.4444 -10.4098 -21.6637
StdDev 9.9207 12.5397 28.9025
ZStat 0.7976 0.8386 0.8555
Variance 98.4208 157.2447 835.3558

12 Occurrences





Let variable values:
theSec = PEP

Date Day _3M _6M _1Y

06/01/1973 Fri -3.1769 -18.6081 -32.6778
07/15/1977 Fri 3.6269 6.7359 25.3887
10/03/1980 Fri 10.0001 36.4996 29.4998
03/22/1985 Fri 15.0119 14.2856 56.4162
11/21/1986 Fri 19.1963 17.4107 15.1785
07/29/1988 Fri 12.1108 7.9585 66.0901
06/15/1990 Fri 0.3379 5.4054 25.1690
02/21/1992 Fri 11.6279 16.6667 24.0310
04/15/1994 Fri -14.9660 -7.1429 11.5646
08/18/1995 Fri 20.6612 35.5372 38.8430
10/25/1996 Fri 12.9167 6.6667 24.5833
04/17/1998 Fri NaN NaN NaN

Avg 7.9406 11.0378 25.8260
AvgPos 11.7211 16.3518 31.6764
AvgNeg -9.0715 -12.8755 -32.6778
PctPos 81.8182 81.8182 90.9091
PctNeg 18.1818 18.1818 9.0909
Maximum 20.6612 36.4996 66.0901
Minimum -14.9660 -18.6081 -32.6778
StdDev 10.5982 16.1852 25.4651
ZStat 0.7492 0.6820 1.0142
Variance 112.3218 261.9603 648.4734

12 Occurrences


Let variable values:
theSec = (HOUSPRD / SPX) * 100

Date Day _3M _6M _1Y

10/14/1966 Fri -9.5007 -6.5282 -0.2131
08/13/1971 Fri 13.5155 16.2146 23.9451
06/01/1973 Fri 1.9671 2.3505 8.9015
07/15/1977 Fri 5.6470 8.5786 6.2397
10/03/1980 Fri -10.8696 -5.9402 4.7820
03/22/1985 Fri -4.6285 3.5627 12.2952
11/21/1986 Fri 1.9165 8.4725 20.4536
07/29/1988 Fri 11.3480 9.1913 19.7525
06/15/1990 Fri 7.4024 16.8710 -4.6738
02/21/1992 Fri 3.5705 2.2808 -1.4642
04/15/1994 Fri -2.2557 5.4648 9.4661
08/18/1995 Fri 13.0278 8.7364 9.5032
10/25/1996 Fri 3.2919 13.1216 6.4687
04/17/1998 Fri NaN NaN NaN

Avg 2.6486 6.3366 8.8813
AvgPos 6.8541 8.6222 12.1808
AvgNeg -6.8136 -6.2342 -2.1170
PctPos 69.2308 84.6154 76.9231
PctNeg 30.7692 15.3846 23.0769
Maximum 13.5155 16.8710 23.9451
Minimum -10.8696 -6.5282 -4.6738
StdDev 7.8672 7.2749 8.6337
ZStat 0.3367 0.8710 1.0287
Variance 61.8922 52.9249 74.5404

14 Occurrences





Let variable values:
theSec = KMB

Date Day _3M _6M _1Y

06/01/1973 Fri -4.9449 -26.9229 -36.2637
07/15/1977 Fri -12.3626 -12.3626 0.5496
10/03/1980 Fri -2.9545 15.4545 11.3638
03/22/1985 Fri 20.7254 24.8705 73.5751
11/21/1986 Fri 35.1682 31.8043 30.5810
07/29/1988 Fri 3.2538 8.0260 12.1475
06/15/1990 Fri 5.9754 15.6415 34.9736
02/21/1992 Fri 13.5802 14.0741 9.1358
04/15/1994 Fri 1.4085 10.0939 -3.5211
08/18/1995 Fri 13.7405 21.3740 20.6107
10/25/1996 Fri 12.0787 11.2360 19.1011
04/17/1998 Fri NaN NaN NaN

Avg 7.7881 10.2990 15.6594
AvgPos 13.2413 16.9528 23.5598
AvgNeg -6.7540 -19.6427 -19.8924
PctPos 72.7273 81.8182 81.8182
PctNeg 27.2727 18.1818 18.1818
Maximum 35.1682 31.8043 73.5751
Minimum -12.3626 -26.9229 -36.2637
StdDev 13.2384 16.6491 27.1143
ZStat 0.5883 0.6186 0.5775
Variance 175.2558 277.1937 735.1841

12 Occurrences



Let variable values:
theSec = (AUTOS / SPX) * 100

Date Day _3M _6M _1Y

10/14/1966 Fri -13.4770 -13.4606 -8.7342
08/13/1971 Fri 6.0549 -0.8869 -10.0073
06/01/1973 Fri -6.7758 -18.6587 -11.3228
07/15/1977 Fri 8.5056 -2.0614 -5.5859
10/03/1980 Fri -20.3426 -5.1275 -10.2229
03/22/1985 Fri -6.9613 -5.6396 7.6117
11/21/1986 Fri 4.8613 15.3460 5.1529
07/29/1988 Fri 0.9937 1.8714 -14.9240
06/15/1990 Fri -12.0546 -27.4894 -22.4859
02/21/1992 Fri 7.5213 2.3196 16.7095
04/15/1994 Fri -1.7671 -13.5056 -23.0769
08/18/1995 Fri -8.7884 -6.5615 -6.8748
10/25/1996 Fri 0.0792 -7.6150 -3.7663
04/17/1998 Fri NaN NaN NaN

Avg -3.2424 -6.2669 -6.7328
AvgPos 4.6693 6.5123 9.8247
AvgNeg -10.0238 -10.1006 -11.7001
PctPos 46.1538 23.0769 23.0769
PctNeg 53.8462 76.9231 76.9231
Maximum 8.5056 15.3460 16.7095
Minimum -20.3426 -27.4894 -23.0769
StdDev 8.9862 10.6669 11.3177
ZStat -0.3608 -0.5875 -0.5949
Variance 80.7525 113.7835 128.0897

14 Occurrences


Generated by JMIM


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Home] [Stocks] [Bonds] [Foreign Exchange] [Agriculture] [Metals] [Energy]
[Astrology] [Asia] [Europe] [Today's Idea] [Daily Numbers] [Archive] [Lounge]

Copyright c 1998 [Logical Information Machines]. Unauthorized photocopying, facsimile or any other distribution of this copyrighted material is prohibited. All rights reserved. Last Updated: April 22, 1998.