SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug M. who wrote (56194)5/29/1998 12:57:00 AM
From: Paul Engel  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 186894
 
Doug - Re: " Paul, what do you think about these figures? They could be conservative."

The 8.6 million servers sold in year 2001 sounds quite plausible.

The 4 CPUs/server sounds like a stretch, however.

That seems to be the "high end" for today's "low end" (Intel-based) server.

My guess is that the number will be somewhat lower - especially when the processor performance in the year 2001 will not be today's "measly" 400 Mhz - it may be quite a bit higher (500 - 800 MHz) offering a lot of "bang" with just one CPU.

Realistically, the number of CPUs may be between 2 and 3 on average - with a LOT of 1 CPU systems and smaller numbers of 2, 4 and 8-way systems - and a few 16 and 32-way CPU systems by then.

Whatever the number is, the revenue enhancement will be very significant. Bear in mind - Intel may be selling more LAN equipment as well into this market with their small office Hubs, switches, and NICs.

This will all add to the revenue stream.

Paul



To: Doug M. who wrote (56194)5/29/1998 2:01:00 PM
From: Tony Viola  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Doug, re: "Minor said that Intel expects there to be roughly 8.6 million servers sold in the year 2001."

Do you know if Minor was giving an estimate of just NT servers, or all servers. Sun sells a lot of servers that run Solaris, their version of of UNIX, which Intel can't touch until Merced. Also, some of the mainframe people are calling their machines servers now, because the term mainframe became "politically incorrect" a few years back. But, I doubt seriously if he'd be including any mainframe class machines.

Tony



To: Doug M. who wrote (56194)5/29/1998 4:30:00 PM
From: Meathead  Respond to of 186894
 
IDC's estimates are a tad more conservative than 8.6M
server unit sales in 2001.

Message 4603536

Let's hope John Minor's forecast is more accurate.

MEATHEAD