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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (12554)6/3/1998 8:01:00 AM
From: Bobby Yellin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116815
 
Hi-
I think we are really fortunate to have Bill Murphy posting..of course,without saying,we are quite fortunate to have you and all
the incredibly great people who post here..(Hi Alex!)
just heard that big corporations will pay much higher health costs
next year..not certain if I heard five or six percent..
my foggy crystal ball, because of demographics,more and more sophiscated derivative schemes and some of the powers that be having
learnt from history,plus the US being based on 85 percent service
economy..there will probably be a market erosion rather than crash..
let me eat those words..don't think the dollar will go down hard..
do think gold will start going up though..have never read how much
gold actually costs to produce when one factors in all the failed
exploration costs
..what do we hear about oil100 dollars a
barrel if one includes defense spending

heard..don't know if it is correct that MCI will include a 5.9 percent
charge on long distance service.. didn't hear the exact charge for
a t and t..
here Sprint says it can cut costs by 70 percent...(that definitely
implies that the consumer has been getting ripped off for benefit
of shareholders)
but since US economy based on service and corporations are buying
distressed Asian companies..and we have moved big big time into high
tech and information age..(has anybody heard what percent of increase
in jobs is high tech related?)..although I don't think we have entered into a new paradigm..don't see a major shock to this economy..
also since there has been such an incredible increase in small businesses...and since I have read some of the hacketing of employees
from big corporations has backfired since some are now shortstaffed of
knowledgeable employees..just looks as if corporate profits will be
headed down regardless of creative bookkeeping and buybacks to reduce
shares and increase "better" earnings..
also don't think there could be a chance of meltdown until euro is in
blossom..bet all the governments of world would prop up markets..
just guessing



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (12554)6/3/1998 6:42:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116815
 
Compelling reasons for industrialised nations not to kill golden gooze
(commodities rich nations)
Gold cannot go down on selling without world-wide crisis Indonesia
style...

Headline: Anglo (JOH:AACJ) says ZZCM woes overhang Konkola

======================================================================
By Darren Schuettler
JOHANNESBURG, June 3 (Reuters) - Mining giant Anglo American
Corp of South Africa Ltd (JOH:AACJ) has said its final commitment
to the Konkola Deep copper project in Zambia would depend on
financing and the privatisation of largely state-owned Zambia
Consolidated Copper Mines Ltd (SBF:ZCC) (ZCCM) (SBF:ZCC).
Anglo American, and its subsidiary Zambia Copper Investments
Ltd (JOH:ZCIJ) (ZCI), are in the midst of a feasibility study on
Konkola, one of several projects Zambia is counting on to revive
its struggling copperbelt.
"The Anglo/ZCI review of the Konkola Deep mine project is
coming to a conclusion and while the results look encouraging,
there remain a number of conditions which we feel must be
satisfied," Bobby Danchin, head of Anglo's new mining business
division, told analysts at a results presentation on Tuesday.
"Not least the raising of third-party finance on acceptable
terms and the conclusion of the privatisation of the rest of
ZCCM before a final commitment is made," Danchin said.
Zambia's bid to privatise ZCCM suffered a major blow in
April when talks to sell the country's two biggest copper mines,
Nkana and Nchanga, to a foreign mining consortium collapsed.
The Kafue group has been negotiating to buy the mines for
the past 15 months, but could not agree with Zambian officials
on a price. Last week, two major Kafue partners, Canada's
Noranda Inc (TSE:NOR) and U.S.-based Phelps Dodge (NYSE:PD), left
the consortium in frustration.
The remaining partners, South Africa's Avmin Ltd (JOH:AVMJ)
and the Commonwealth Development Corp (CDC), said on Monday they
would seek to renew talks with the Zambian government.
Anglo American, which holds a 27.3 percent stake in ZCCM
through its ZCI subsidiary, has said any delay in ZCCM's
privatisation would be a serious concern.
The initial plan for Konkola Deep mine was for output of
around 180,000 tonnes of finished copper a year which could
increase to 340,000 tonnes.
The mine resources are estimated around 340 million tonnes
at 3.8 percent copper content. The estimated development cost
was between $700 million and $800 million.
The Konkola project has lost partners as well, the latest
departure coming in March when Canada's Falconbridge Ltd (TSE:FL)
left due to weak copper prices.
At the time, Anglo said it would continue the feasibility
study and might seek other partners.
ZCCM's problems aside, Danchin said Konkola was one of two
copper/cobalt projects in the region with "enormous potential."
In neighbouring Democratic Republic of the Congo, Anglo is
co-leader of a consortium hoping to rehabilitate a 22,000 sq km
area near the mining centre of Kolwezi.
The Kolwezi Group West project would involve reviving large
open pits and dumps in the mineral rich central African country.
"Its difficult...to overstate the enormous potential of
these copper-cobalt deposits, which, at Group West alone, have
the capacity to produce 400,000 tonnes of copper and 15,000
tonnes of cobalt annually for well over 20 years," Danchin said.
The other consortium partners include Belgium's Union
Miniere (BRU:ACUM), Billiton Plc (ISEL:BLT), South Africa's Iscor
Ltd (JOH:ISCO), Canada's First Quantum Minerals (VSE:FM) and a
Chinese partner.
The Konkola and Kolwezi projects are part of Anglo
American's drive to expand further into Africa.
"Africa to the north of us has the geological credentials to
produce world class mines similar to the ones that have been so
important to the development of southern Africa," Danchin said.
In the search for new projects, Anglogold Ltd (JOH:ANGJ)
recently linked up with Canada's Barrick Gold Corp (TSE:ABX) to
search for gold in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mali
and Senegal.
The most advanced of these gold properties is a 57,000 sq km
concession in Congo Republic's Kilo-Moto area, which Danchin
said is producing attractive drill results.
In Tanzania, Anglo is well into the first year of a two-year
feasibility study on the Kabanga nickel project, in which it
holds a 60 percent stake in a joint venture with Canada's Sutton
Resources.
Danchin said the Kabanga North ore body could see an
underground mine producing 100,000 tonnes of concentrate
annually containing 15 percent nickel, 1.2 percent cobalt and
2.5 percent copper with a mine life of 14 years.
newsroom@reuters.co.za))

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (12554)6/3/1998 9:47:00 PM
From: Terry Rose  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116815
 
George, In a market meltdown or a protracted bear market I think that the federal reserve will lower short-term rates and crank up the printing presses to prevent the resulting deflation that will occur if they are not successful. The inflationary implications of this action should light up the gold market as the dollar falls and long-term rates rise. If not successful then we will get deflation and gold probably will go down initially. What gold does later has been studied during previous eras of deflation and in the past has done quite well.

All being said whether or not one should be invested in gold or other markets depends on timing. Since we now have a triple bottom in gold I think it's a good time to own gold.

Terry,