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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul V. who wrote (20561)6/18/1998 8:10:00 AM
From: jtechkid  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 70976
 
IT SEEMS LIKE ME and kurlak are on the same page. i see the overcapacity in semi's bottomed out this quarter and i believe the book to bill will break one in december. from these oversold negative sentiment in the market that would take amat to 38-42-klac to 45-lscc to 40. also, one key i see is mutual funds are window dressing or dumping semi's they bought higher for the end of their quarter or july1. i believe once the pre announcement period is over-one more week- and the window dressing selling is done you will get a nice reboundin the whole group. also, i think the wild card is if we will see a consolidation in the group that could start a competitive domino buyouts through the group or at least rumor takeover candidates. at current prices, i strongly believepeople will look back and june will be the bottom for this group. i been right on everything else and so has kurlak this year.



To: Paul V. who wrote (20561)6/18/1998 3:04:00 PM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Paul,

Thanks for the updated DW percentages. The most recent semi reading is at the 15% level. What is typically the low for a sector bottoming out and how long have you seen any sector stay at extremely low levels for extended periods of time? Thanks for your input, since I am TA ignorant.

Brian