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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mark Duper who wrote (49003)6/18/1998 6:41:00 PM
From: Narotham Reddy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Bloomberg says Ericsson is in talks..

A late report of Bloomberg said Ericsson is indeed in talks with
ASND. They however said, 3Com may not fit their bill.

Narotham



To: Mark Duper who wrote (49003)6/18/1998 6:45:00 PM
From: Narotham Reddy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
"Ascend is the Next to go"

3Com, Ascend Shares Up On Rumors Of
Takeover By Ericsson

Dow Jones Newswires

NEW YORK -- Shares of 3Com Corp. (COMS) and Ascend
Communications Inc. (ASND) were up Thursday on ongoing rumors that
Swedish telecommunications equipment maker L.M. Ericsson Telephone
Co. (ERICY) could acquire one of the data networking companies.

Rumors of acquisitions in the computer networking companies by the big
phone equipment companies have been sweeping the sector for a number
of months and heated up this week after Northern Telecom Ltd. (NT)
finally announced its long-anticipated purchase of Bay Networks Inc.
(BAY).

That deal itself has attracted a lot of criticism on Wall Street and some
have speculated that it could unravel or that another suitor - including
possibly Ericsson or Lucent Technologies Inc. (LU) - could still make a
run at Bay Networks.

Several analysts maintained, however, they would be very surprised if the
deal between Nortel and Bay Networks fell apart.

Officials at Ascend and Bay Networks declined comment, while Northern
Telecom, 3Com and Ericsson couldn't be immediately reached for
comment.

Shares of 3Com were recently up 2 1/4, or 9.1%, at 26 7/8 on Nasdaq
volume of 11.2 million compared with an average daily volume of 6.9
million.

Ascend's shares were recently up 1 5/8, or 3.3%, at 51 on Nasdaq
volume of 7.9 million compared with an average daily volume of 7 million.

Ericsson's shares were down 1 9/16, or 5.7%, at 25 7/8 on Nasdaq
volume of 6.8 million compared with an average daily volume of 4.2
million.

Bay Networks, meanwhile, was up 3/16, or 0.6%, at 30 3/16. And
Nortel was up 1/2, or 1%, at 53.

Wall Street has heaped criticism on Northern Telecom for its deal with
Bay Networks over the past week, which has led to rumors the deal may
fall apart.

Some have charged the purchase of Bay Networks wouldn't give Nortel a
strong enough product offering to be a leading supplier of equipment
needed to build out the Internet. Bay Networks, for instance, does have
some routing offerings, but doesn't have a big carrier-class router product.

In addition, many have questioned Bay Networks' ability to effectively
compete with the giant of the networking industry, Cisco Systems Inc.
(CSCO) - particularly since Bay Networks' last quarterly results were a
disappointment.

The deal also has been criticized because it will be dilutive to Nortel's
1998 earnings. One analyst said the company would have to realize $700
million in synergies to make the transaction accretive in 1999.

These concerns helped drive Nortel's shares down nearly 10 points to 54
on the day the acquisition was announced. One analyst noted that Nortel
has therefore probably been facing pressure from its larger shareholders to
terminate the deal.

But Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. analyst Paul Sagawa believes Nortel is
buying Bay Networks for a bargain. The deal calls for each Bay Networks
shareholder to receive 0.6 of a Northern Telecom common share.

Sagawa believes the low price at which Bay Networks sold out is
therefore either a sign that Bay Networks' "quarter is in trouble and this is
the best option" or - more likely - the best deal Bay Networks could get
to preserve power of its own management. "It's a sweetheart deal for
management," he said.

Sagawa therefore sees the possibility of a bidding war for Bay Networks
and maintained that Bay Networks, along with Ascend, is one of the only
"real plums" in the data networking industry right now. He noted that
Ericsson, for one, could be interested since it already distributes some Bay
Networks equipment in Europe.

In fact, according to documents filed with the Securities & Exchange
Commission Thursday, Bay Networks could pay a walk-away price of
$275 million to terminate the Nortel deal.

Several analysts maintained, however, that they would be surprised if the
deal with Nortel fell apart.

For one thing, one arbitrageur noted that Bay Networks was widely
shopped around, so it is unlikely that another suitor would come out of the
woodwork now.

He added that he doubts any company would be interested in Bay
Networks following the reaction that Nortel has received.

In addition, one analyst noted that the stocks of Nortel and Bay Networks
are trading pretty much in line with each other under the terms of the
exchange ratio - a sign that Wall Street generally expects the deal to go
through.

Meanwhile, looking at the rumors that Ericsson could make a bid for
3Com or Ascend, several sources agreed that a pairing with Ascend
would make more sense since both Ascend and Ericsson are focused on
the carrier market.

And Sagawa noted that 3Com's modem and adapter card businesses
would not be very attractive to a telecommunications equipment supplier
since they are commodity-like, low-margins operations.

Sagawa added, though, that he believes Ascend might be interested in
waiting for Lucent, which will be free to do pooling of interest transactions
in October.

"Ascend is the next to go," the arbitrageur said.

-Joelle Tessler; 201-938-5285