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Gold/Mining/Energy : Trico Marine Services (TMAR) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jad who wrote (461)6/20/1998 11:52:00 AM
From: jad  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1153
 
Oil prices have dropped 35% this year as supplies have swelled, relative to demand. Yet while nearby quotes last week hit their lowest level in over a decade, the futures market is predicting a swift rebound to $16 per barrel, or nearly 35% above current quotes, by year-end.
That would put oil above the top of the trading range in which it has moved since January. And it would be quite a move given that, despite all the pledged output cuts by OPEC and other producers, prices have buckled under burdensome inventories.
Why are prices for delivery only six months into the future commanding such a premium? And which end of the oil price curve -- the present or the future -- best reflects the market's fundamentals
from this week's Barrons