U.S. Long-Distance Cos.' 2nd-Qtr Profit Mixed: Industry Outlook
Bloomberg News June 22, 1998, 12:07 p.m. PT
U.S. Long-Distance Cos.' 2nd-Qtr Profit Mixed: Industry Outlook
June 22 (Bloomberg) -- The top four U.S. long-distance phone companies will report mixed second-quarter results as they struggle with lower prices for phone calls and losses in new operations such as Internet, wireless and international.
AT&T Corp. will boost its second-quarter profit as the nation's No. 1 long-distance company cuts costs, while No. 4 carrier WorldCom Inc. will benefit from its fast-growing data operations.
No. 2 MCI Communications Corp. will report lower profit as its local operations lose money and growth in its long-distance business slows. At No. 3 Sprint Corp., wireless and international operations will drag down earnings.
Prices for long-distance phone calls are falling. At the same time, the carriers face increased competition from Baby Bells such as U S West Inc., which started marketing long- distance services for the first time this quarter.
''The success of U S West and others is having an impact on driving down (long-distance) prices,'' said Brian Adamik, an analyst at the Yankee Group in Boston.
AT&T and Sprint have extended their 10-cents-a-minute discount calling plan to any time, any day. AT&T also introduced a flat rate for wireless services, eliminating separate local and long-distance charges.
More companies are providing Internet services at an average price of 6.5 cents a minute -- less than half the price of traditional long-distance calls, according to Forrester Research.
Consolidation in the industry continued during the quarter. SBC Communications Inc. said it will buy fellow Baby Bell Ameritech Corp. for $65.4 billion, and Qwest Communications International Inc. bought LCI International Inc. for $4.43 billion.
AT&T
AT&T, under new Chief Executive C. Michael Armstrong, is boosting profit by slashing costs. AT&T is expected to earn 81 cents a diluted share in the second quarter, based on a survey of 19 analysts by IBES International Inc., compared with 59 cents a year earlier.
The company said 15,300 managers, or 25 percent of the total, took its early-retirement offer during the quarter. That's 50 percent more than AT&T estimated earlier.
Still, investors have switched their focus to revenue growth. First-quarter sales at AT&T rose a paltry 0.7 percent. More of the same is expected in the second quarter.
AT&T took a first-quarter charge of $371 million, or 23 cents a share, for its failed efforts to sell local phone services. AT&T hopes that its plan to buy local phone company Teleport Communications Group for $12.9 billion will give it a foothold in the $100 billion-a-year U.S. local phone market.
''I haven't seen an initiative yet to show they will turn revenue growth around,'' Adamik said. ''People are still waiting (to find out) what AT&T's local strategy is.''
AT&T faced long-distance competition from a Baby Bell for the first time after U S West began marketing services from Qwest Communications. Since then, though, several companies have challenged the agreement, and U S West has stopped selling long- distance services.
Sprint
Sprint's profit will decline as the company boosts spending on new markets. Sprint is expected to earn 46 cents a diluted share, based on an IBES survey, down from 62 cents a year earlier.
Earlier this month, Sprint raised its 1998 capital spending estimates almost 25 percent, primarily to pay for its wireless operations and the construction of a new high-speed data network. Sprint expects to spend $6.5 billion to $6.8 billion this year, up from a previous estimate of $5 billion to $5.5 billion.
Sprint has agreed to assume full ownership of its Sprint PCS wireless joint venture with Tele-Communications Inc., Comcast Corp. and Cox Communications Inc. Sprint PCS is building a nationwide digital wireless network to provide voice and data services.
Sprint has said it expects quarterly profit to start increasing in 1999 as losses from new operations -- wireless, Internet and international -- narrow.
MCI, WorldCom
MCI is also losing money in those markets. MCI will earn 23 cents a diluted share, based on an IBES survey, down from 40 cents a year earlier.
''MCI will have negative year-over-year comparisons,'' said Anna-Maria Kovacs, an analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott Inc. The company hasn't recovered from the fourth quarter, when ''long- distance growth slowed, and local and ventures' losses were horrific.'' Kovacs has a ''sell'' recommendation on MCI.
MCI continues to negotiate with regulators for approval to sell the company to WorldCom. MCI has offered to shed its entire Internet operations to get approval, according to a European Union official close to the negotiations.
At WorldCom, revenue and earnings from fast-growing data services are boosting profit. Data and Internet services are more profitable than traditional voice calls.
WorldCom is expected to earn 20 cents a diluted share, based on an IBES survey, up from 8 cents a year earlier.
Last year, WorldCom completed its $15.5 billion acquisition of MFS Communications Co., which is building local phone networks in major cities to provide service to businesses. Company 2nd-Qtr Year-Ago Number of
Estimate EPS Analysts AT&T $0.81 $0.59 18 MCI 0.23 0.40 15 Sprint 0.46 0.62 15 WorldCom 0.20 0.08 24 Estimates provided by IBES International Inc. and exclude any one- time charges or gains.
--Colleen McElroy in the Princeton newsroom (609) 279-4069 |