To: Wally who wrote (2707 ) 6/30/1998 7:59:00 PM From: Jim Porter Respond to of 2897
Wally, Thanks for your reply. I'll do my best to answer your questions and be honest at the same time. Sometimes honesty is not what many people want to hear. However, I don't think that is the case here. I think we are all in something like "group therapy". What was it about FNTN that grabbed my attention? To answer this, I have to really think about it. If memory serves me right, some way or another I ran across FNTN on the same day it made its first move from the twenty five cent level. I placed two limit orders and got filled on the first. The following day, I placed and got filled on another order. Why FNTN? When I saw FNTN the first time, I didn't have time to do any real DD. I placed my orders and expected to make a quick buck. However, later that same night, I started doing some DD. Although I was not overly impressed with what I found, I did see a company that was looking into a window of opportunity. In my opinion, that window was closing quickly and I thought FNTN had a good chance of jumping through it. Did they? Again, in my opinion, No! However, that is a qualified no. They got half way through and got their but caught. Would I do it again? That depends on my objective. Quick ROI - No! Ground floor of a future product - Yes! Why am I long on FNTN? Several reasons. First and foremost, is the eventual financial reward I hope to gain. Second, is the product/service FNTN is offering to the industry. And, third, is the growth in the industry segment. What do I see in the future? I see a company that will work very hard to reap its own financial rewards. If memory serves me right, the total outstanding stock of FNTN is somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 million shares (give or take 5 million) with a float of 11 million. Just in round numbers, that means about 29 or 30 million shares are in the hands of board members, officers, and other special people. I'm convinced these people want to cash in shortly after the stock is traded on the NASDAQ. That means a quick price of 4 dollars (30 million shares times 4 dollars equals retirement for more than one person; therefore I expect them to work very hard). Why do I keep talking about a stock repurchase program? In the future, I expect someone to buy FNTN. However, I do not expect them to pay over 200 million dollars for the entire company. Why 200 million dollars? For much less then 200 million dollars, another company could set up their own web site and market their services to the same customer base. However, if they can get this revenue stream overnight, 200 million is a fair price. Future stock price? 200 million times 40 million shares (total outstanding) equals about 5 dollars per share. However, paying only 200 million for the 11 million shares of float equals $18.18 per share. In my opinion, any take over company paying more then 200 million, for the entire company, would be wasting the shareholders money. When a buyout does occur, I want to see the 200 million paid for a total of 20 million outstanding shares of FNTN stock. The way the current stock is allocated, this will never happen. However, by repurchasing 50% of the stock, it could. Just my views...... Jim Porter