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Technology Stocks : VIAS VIASOFT & THE Y2K PROBLEM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael tantleff who wrote (1477)	7/6/1998 10:37:00 AM
From: TEDennis	Respond to of 2067

michael: Wow ... down 1 13/16 to 13 3/4 on 350,000 shares. That's an 11% drop, and the day has just begun. New 52 week low (12 3/8) on the horizon? No news that I can find. What the heck can be causing this? TED

To: michael tantleff who wrote (1477)	7/6/1998 10:40:00 AM
From: stox19	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2067

don't see nothing up about VIAS. Is this a MM's ploy to shake off the week hands or is something really up. If JD roger is right about earnings then this is definitely contradicting it. GO VIAS GO I MEAN UP NOT DOWN

To: michael tantleff who wrote (1477)	7/8/1998 5:17:00 PM
From: TEDennis	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 2067

Let's play "what if" ... Last year's earnings were $0.49. Assuming a modest 25% growth (certainly doable for a Y2K company), this year's should be in the neighborhood of $0.61. Apply a PE of 30 to that, and you get 18 3/8. So, "what if" one buys a bunch of shares at the current level of 15 (rounded up). It would seem one could make over 3 bucks a share short term. That's 20 percent. Not bad. Now, "what if" that 25% growth turns out to be 50%? The earnings would be $0.73. With a PE of 30, that makes the stock price $22. Hmmmm ... TED (Long, strong, and very very hopeful)