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Technology Stocks : Altaba Inc. (formerly Yahoo) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (12211)7/8/1998 5:54:00 PM
From: Rob S.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
Amazon.com should go up in sypathy. It got beaten down recently and could rally back up. I'm short on it now but it could be a trading buy - what are your thoughts?



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (12211)7/8/1998 5:58:00 PM
From: Andrew Fenic  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 27307
 
Profit taking is imminent.

$.15 per share when shares are priced at $185 + ?! $8 million in profit against a market cap of $10 billion?! Pathetic numbers. If it were any other company, Yahoo would lose 75% of its value on the open.

What the news WILL do is keep shorts away. With nobody left to squeeze, the street is going to take profits over the next 7-10 days.

We will see $150 before next Friday. Bank on it.



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (12211)7/8/1998 6:00:00 PM
From: 16yearcycle  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 27307
 
yhoo is growing revenues at ~300% per year now. If this were to keep up for 2 years, they would have a q of 300 million in sales, and earnings of about 1.12. That is a 4.48 e year; a pe of 130 would cause a price of about 580.

Anyone shorting this is insane.



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (12211)7/8/1998 6:32:00 PM
From: J.S.  Respond to of 27307
 
Roger,

You wrote "..next quarter earnings will be divided over a larger number of shares due to
the private placement. Earnings must increase or EPS will go down."

You forget that we are talking about a stock with an EPS of over
300. Assume that they keep only 25% on average of the proceeds from the from the private placement over the next quarter. They would only
need to earn less than 2% (annualized) on this 25% cash to keep from diluting EPS. That, of course, does not include any potential return on the other 75%.

In my opinion, this observation is as much a testimony to the
overvaluation of YHOO as anything can be. Begrudgingly, however,
the recent private placement can hardly be seen as dilutive in the
short term.

Good Luck,
Joe



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (12211)7/8/1998 6:40:00 PM
From: Daniel Chisholm  Respond to of 27307
 
But since these shares were sold at a price in excess of book value, this sale is accretive to per-share value, not dilutive. And since the risk-free return available on this new cash (far) exceeds the current earnings yield (E/P) of Yahoo, EPS will increase.

Each of these new shares outstanding resulted in the company's cash increasing by $183 (according to your post - I haven't verified this number).

If Yahoo! places this money in tbills at 5% per year, this should earn $9.15 per year per $183.

If instead of placing such a small number of shares, they should have (tongue in cheek here) doubled the number of shares outstanding, in return for $183 per share.

That way, pro-forma quarterly earnings would be (9.15/4 + 0.15)/2 = $1.22 per share. This would represent a growth in per share quarterly earnings of 812%, all by just selling shares (to double shares outstanding) and buying tbills!

If my scenario here sounds like a stupid excuse for earnings growth, that's because it is. Think about it.

- Daniel