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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kash johal who wrote (59545)7/8/1998 10:52:00 PM
From: Time Traveler  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 186894
 
Kash,

Why are you so confident that AMD can produce 4M-5M K6 next quarter (Q3/98)?

Jerry claimed an addition of 500K-1M, to the existing 2.6M this quarter (Q2/98), by Q4/98. When AMD started the 0.25um, if same yield as 0.35um, the vanilla K6 production would suddenly double. Now, with K6-2 becoming of more a main stream, the units per wafer has to decrease because of larger die size.

Over all, the most importance issue is whether AMD has solved its yield problem. To me, the answer is no. So, in order to deliver more units in the next few quarters, production must be ramped up. That would spell more spending and thus more loss, not to mention the ASP going down fast due to Intel's merciless price war.

Are we witnessing the slow demise of a great company (AMD)?

Regards,
Time Traveler



To: kash johal who wrote (59545)7/8/1998 11:00:00 PM
From: Time Traveler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
AMD still has the option of selling its K6 business to Intel, and I hope Intel would accept it if FTC approves it. This way, the Chip War of `97-'98 would be over, and as a investor of Intel, I would benefit. Of course, it would put more dollars in Intel's purse. A win-win situation like the Alpha deal, good for AMD, Intel, and investors.

Regards,
Time Traveler