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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tr who wrote (21513)	7/10/1998 10:31:00 PM
From: Quang Nguyen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 70976

Dear Mr. Tr. Your children are so lucky. No doubt about the good future of AMAT next 13 years, but on Monday, if you want to average down your shares, you had to look at the Japan's election (on Sunday). Changing the political power in Japan will have a lot of impact on semi sector, not yet, the tax cut and bail out of the bad loan also have a negative look on US stock market (competition). I might wrong because I was wrong all the time, JMHO. So do some homework and get the best bargain for your children. Good luck mr. Tr. Best regards. Quang Nguyen.

To: tr who wrote (21513)	7/10/1998 11:47:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 70976

tr: excellent strategy. Many people say they're going to follow that plan, but find they don't have the courage. We are herd animals, and it is very hard to keep your head when the herd is stampeding. This next downturn is going to squeeze out everyone who is holding the stock hoping for an upturn within 12 months. Once that happens, then the only people left long will be the "strong hands", the very long-term value investors with cast-iron stomachs. Only when the stock is in their hands will the risk of a further sharp sell-off be gone. When pessimism is at it's height, when every Fidelity fund has sold their holdings, when everyone is calling it a cyclical, when no analyst dares issue a "strong buy", then it will be finally safe to hold the stock. Ain't there yet.