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Microcap & Penny Stocks : TSIS: WHAT IS GOING ON? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jmt who wrote (3088)7/14/1998 7:55:00 AM
From: John S. Baker  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 6931
 
Barriers to entry -- my take on the subject:


The barriers to entry for potential competitors are less than in a situation where a company holds a patent or an exclusive franchise or something similar.


The equipment is readily available -- PC's, networking stuff, T-1 lines.


There is commercially-available software (though not necessarily shrink-wrapped, for sure) which will handle pieces of what TSIS does. WinFAX, for instance, can convert a magnetic memory item into a transmittable FAX. And there are programs to store audio content in a magnetic form. Soundblaster will do this. And there are systems which can be programmed to accept the special sounds uttered by a touch tone phone and to convert those into input instructions understandable by a computer. A 7-year-old with a tape recorder could do this.


TSIS has integrated all this capability together into a smoothly-operating ("seamless") business offering -- the InvestorReach service. TSIS has perhaps a one- to two-year head start on anyone else who might choose to begin. And TSIS has successfully convinced a number of big, savvy firms that TSIS's approach is better ... or cheaper? ... than trying to do it themselves. And TSIS has the customer-service savvy to *keep* those clients, once signed. (This last point probably should not be overlooked. Don Cameron is fond of mentioning that they are customer-driven, and can turn out a solution in considerably less time than could a larger, more-ponderous company. It is useful to look at any potential competition with this in mind. I suggest that most companies with pockets deep enough to "throw money at a solution" are likely to be ponderous enough that an agile, less-well-funded company like TSIS will be able to stay out of reach.)


But perhaps more importantly, TSIS has gained experience in designing (and programing) IVR capabilities to do a host of other things. I believe that the GTE deal, the details of which have not been described publicly, represents the first payoff of that capability.


And, as several have posted here recently, there are a number of other possible IVR applications which might be explored immediately, or as time and finance permit.


Is this hi-tech? In the sense of finding a cure for cancer, probably not. In the sense of creating a new way to build chips so that they generate no heat and operate 50x as fast, probably not.


Is this a valid business approach? I think so. After all, one could apply some very simplistic analogies to the whole concept of computer networking by describing them as...


..."nothing but a bunch of computer messages running around, each containing instructions as to where it is supposed to go, with everything else (bridges, routers, switchers, etc.) being merely dumb hardware"


...but I think such an approach would clearly not factor in the value of all the advances which have occurred in networking over the past 10-15 years.


So is TSIS a service company? Or an engineering company? Or a value-added source? Or a whatever? At this point, I'm not sure, though I tend to think in terms of "service company with a unique capability."


The barriers to entry, then, are (1) primacy, (2) established (and satisfied) customer base, (3) sunk (already-paid-for) development, and (4) attitude or corporate culture.


I remain long a significant (for me) position.


JSb.



To: jmt who wrote (3088)7/14/1998 9:02:00 AM
From: MeDroogies  Respond to of 6931
 
Actually, I side with you on this issue. The price/earnings ratio is "correct" or on the high side. However, that will adjust with the next quarter or two's earnings reports. Should the next quarter show .01 or .02 per share, then this will start moving up toward $1. After all, then we have to start employing a PEG of some nature...going from .001 per share to .01 per share is growth of 1000% - not unsubstantial EVEN at these low numbers.