SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (21858)7/19/1998 8:46:00 AM
From: HairBall  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
William, James, Bobby: Gee, my TA indicators do not predict the future, they "try" and give a quick trend signal. (short, medium, long term).

I don't know how you guys figure out where the market is going to top. Yeh, I got Ewave books, Etc. Sometimes, from experience looking at my indicators and holding a wet finger to the hot TEXAS wind, I can get a pretty good feel in advance what my indictors are going to tell me. That is about as far out as I can go. (My indicators are trend following, for the most part. I also, try to monitor the S/MM intentions.)

Having said all that: Bobby in an early post you referenced the RUT. All your moving averages where coming together and you expected a break to the up side. I agree. My technicals look like late April 97 for the RUT.

The Dow Indices: Industrials look to go higher, Utilities have been going up without a correction (at least 5%) since April 97. Transports, I'll get to them later!

S&P 500: Has began a momentum run up like the April 97 or Jan 98 moves.

NASDQ: Its break to the upside is like the April 97 move up, but has more momentum. My momentum and short/medium term buy/sell oscillator shows it, to be the strongest move up so far.

The question mark to me is the Dow Transports: It has not confirmed the move up, yet! (Setting new highs.) It appears to be bucking the trend. My momentum indicator (short/medium term) turned south on 7/15. (This is not a sell signal, just a momentum signal.) However, the Transports of late have struggled more to gain ground. Since the top in October 97, it has corrected four times 5% or greater. It may just be going through one of those oscillations.

Since I changed software this year, its database only goes back 10 years, I will have to rely on my memory, I believe the Trans lead the way down in 87. Something to keep an eye on?

Comments?

Regards,
LG