SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zardoz who wrote (14804)7/22/1998 3:11:00 PM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116814
 
Sounds to me like he would like gold as the reserve currency vs the dollar the pound or the Euro. I'm with you, there is not enough gold for a purely gold backed currency, or is there at these prices.
rh



To: Zardoz who wrote (14804)7/22/1998 8:44:00 PM
From: PaulM  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116814
 
Armstrong sees July 20th, 1998 as possible Major Cyclic Turning Point
pei-intl.com

Click "July 20 1998 Turning Point" icon

And for those interested in elliott wave theory, Robert Prechter runs a site at elliottwave.com

This is the guy whose been expecting a stock market crash of "Grand Supercycle Degree" (i.e. the worst in over two centuries) since 1995. He now sees the Great Bull (Super Cycle 5th wave) topping end of July or August, give or take.



To: Zardoz who wrote (14804)7/23/1998 6:13:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116814
 
Calls mount for action on swooning Canadian loonie
03:50 p.m Jul 23, 1998 Eastern
By Randall Palmer

OTTAWA, July 23 (Reuters) - The unrelenting slide of the Canadian dollar
in recent months has fostered growing calls for authorities in Ottawa to
prevent the decline from turning into an Asian-style exchange crisis.

Many economists and politicians have increasingly become impatient with
the perceived indifference of Prime Minister Jean Chretien to the fate
of the dollar -- nicknamed the loonie after a bird, the loon, pictured
on the C$1 coin -- and the reluctance of the Bank of Canada to come to
its rescue.

At the heart of the debate is whether it matters to a country whether
its dollar becomes weaker or not.

''When you lower your currency, it's like taking a national wage cut,''
remarked Scotiabank chief economist Warren Jestin.

''And there's no way in my mind you can reason around the fact that we
cannot get rich as an economy by progressively taking national wage
cuts. It just doesn't make any sense.''

The last time Chretien publicly commented on the currency, on July 14,
he said the decline was helping exporters and Canada's tourist industry.

Noting inflation was low, he gave not the slightest hint that the
government -- or the central bank -- might act to make the one-way bets
of currency speculators less sure.

The currency has slid further, to C$1.4950 to the U.S.

dollar from C$1.48 when Chretien spoke, and from C$1.41 in January.

Chretien is on holiday, and his office gave no indication of building
concern. ''I don't think we've got a comment to make,'' his spokeswoman,
Jennifer Lang, said on Thursday, adding his next public appearance would
be next month.

A cartoon in Canada's Financial Post newspaper shows a hypnotist
swinging the sinking loonie in front of a slumbering Chretien and
saying: ''When he awakes he won't remember anything...He wasn't aware of
anything before he fell asleep.''

Opposition leader Preston Manning, of the Reform Party, slammed
Chretien: ''Like countries in Asia that are hesitant to engage in
reform, Chretien's do-nothing approach on our record-low dollar
increases the scope of the problem.''

Criticism of the government and the bank is not unanimous.

Some economists said the dollar slump was triggered by the Asian crisis
and the ensuing fall in commodity prices.

''As long as the weakening is orderly and doesn't cause destabilisation
of the other markets, the (central) bank should stay on the sidelines,''
Bank of Montreal deputy chief economist Paul Ferley commented.

But Ferley recognises, along with most in the markets, the perils as the
dollar approaches the magic level of C$1.50 to the U.S. dollar.

Even though its significance is simply that it is a round number, the
expectation is that hitting that point could trigger a new round of
selling.

And that would likely cut further into the confidence of international
investors, already forced to accept lower interest rates in Canada than
in the United States.

At least two economists -- CIBC Wood Gundy's Jeff Rubin and Nesbitt
Burns' Sherry Cooper -- have joined calls by the opposition Reform and
Conservative parties for tax cuts, which could counter the economic drag
of a dollar-bolstering hike in interest rates.

Cooper has taken strenuous exception to the idea that just because
annual inflation is only 1.0 percent that the weak dollar is not hurting
and that inflation could not erupt again.

Take computers. The booming market in the United States is for computers
under $1,000. But in Canadian dollars, brand-name computers are not
available anywhere near $1,000 because it costs a lot more Canadian
dollars to import them.

Tuition for graduate studies at Canada's leading journalism school,
Carleton University, costs about C$4,000. Its U.S.

counterpart, Columbia University, charges US$22,500 for a year and says
students should budget for US$40,000.

That's difficult enough to swallow in U.S. terms but at C$60,000 it is
above most Canadian families' pre-tax incomes.

Tourism abroad is becoming less and less attractive. The fall has been
greatest against the U.S. dollar, but the currency has also dropped
against European currencies.

One in seven residents -- more than four million ''snowbirds'' -- flee
Canada's cold for Florida and other southern states each winter. As the
dollar becomes more expensive, Canadians' options become more limited.

''My kids are going to have to wait a long time before they go to Disney
World again,'' Scotiabank's Jestin said.

But among the broader economic concerns, he worried that foreigners
could start snapping up Canadian companies at bargain-basement prices.

''We're making domestic assets increasingly cheap to foreign buyers,
especially U.S. buyers,'' he said.

Jestin said he expected the central bank to be forced to raise rates by
half a percentage point, which he said would not give the currency a
bounce but would stabilise it.

((Reuters Ottawa Bureau, 1-613-235-6745, fax 1-613-235-5890))