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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (22152)	7/23/1998 5:50:00 PM
From: jef saunders	Respond to of 94695

carl, david, jim, and everyone else, THANKS for the discussion. some of my holdings did lousy, and i had to go walk for a couple of miles after the close to help ease my stomach. my STB star bank is actually holding up rather well, i bought more yesterday, and the 70s are holding. p.s. also, a special thanks to bill who tried to keep me from losing the money i have this last week.

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (22152)	7/23/1998 6:40:00 PM
From: yard_man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

David, I recognize that the rally could broaden from here, but I'm not sure I agree it is likely. I am not a technician. I have made some bearish bets (Sept, Oct, Jan) -- but won't be surprised if there isn't a good move down until the latter part of the year -- I do expect one though before the end of the year. My only point is that A/D hasn't meant anything for a while and may not for a while longer. All I do is keep increasing my cash as I can. I don't care if I miss the last big spike that everyone seems to believe is necessary before the end of the cycle. If you can time that well -- I say good going. I lack the confidence and tolerance for risk to even contemplate something like that. Take care, Tippet PS - Lots of other good wisdom in Ecclesiastes if one understands the point-of-view. When one is wise and has all the wealth of the world -- what so many think is so important seems like so much trash.

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (22152)	8/1/1998 12:04:00 AM
From: Vitas	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

<The perfect prior parallel to the large cycle picture we are currently in is the Oct. of '63 time frame (Kennedy had just been assasinated, causing a spike lower in the markets that parallels the spike lower we're currently having to the T).> This time around maybe the President did himself in. Vitas

To: Bull RidaH who wrote (22152)	8/1/1998 1:27:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 94695

David; RE> (Kennedy had just been assasinated, causing a spike lower in the markets that parallels the spike lower we're currently having to the T). ... That spike down was the Cuban Missile Crises, which peaked in OCT 62. People were scared s*htless, and likely not as scared as they should have been. It never came out till a couple years ago, But the General in Cuba did not have good communications with the Kremlin, and stated as fact, had we launched the assault the hawks wanted, He would have had no choice but to counter with nuclear weapons, and they had 18 of them loaded and cocked, and was ready to use them he would not have needed an OK from the Kremlin had we deployed the assult troops that were fully ready. That would have started a nuclear war beyond the imagination of most people reading this, and in fact no one would be reading this had it happened, those left would still be putting the pieces back together..there is only one other time I know of that we may have come taht close and within hours of ending the world as you know it. Most people are still in the dark about both times, we were like 5min before dooms day, and the people responsible still don't wont admitt how bad they screwed up. The Next year when JFK was assassinated the market did a little knee jerk and went right on up. Jim