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Strategies & Market Trends : Electronic Contract Manufacture (ECM) Sector -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patroller who wrote (1636)7/29/1998 5:02:00 AM
From: Asymmetric  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2542
 
An Interesting Post from a Respected Analyst

Here's a pointer to a Carl Johnson post. He mentions that his pardner, Ron Leckie was at the Robbie Stephens Conference.

Message 5343875

An excerpt:

<< The only thing I can think of that would cause the actual number of chips sold to decrease would be an inventory work-off given that the world consumer economy seems to be still rolling along.>>

When the connector companies - AMP, the analog guys - ADI and the passive component players - Kemet, are saying their business is falling off it becomes clear that there is a problem with end demand. It could be SEA, it could be channel clearing, it could be a host of items. It is notable that U.S. Electronic End Equipment orders and sales are still essentially flat for the past several months and off a bit since last August/September. This data seems to exhibit a strong correlation to the IC units numbers.

I think we have enough evidence to say that final demand is slowing in a broad spectrum of categories and it is not just channel clearing. Based on what Ron says he heard from the contract manufacturers at today's Robertson Stephens Conference, the unit volume weakness is really evident in those exposed to the PC business. I am sure he will have some good updates on this as the week progresses.

eoe - (end of excerpt)