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Technology Stocks : General Instrument Corp.'98 (GIC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John F. Dowd who wrote (389)7/30/1998 7:50:00 AM
From: John F. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 615
 
To All: Notes on Conference Call posted over at Yahoo- what's wrong with these numbers:

I listened to the GIC conference call, and I have the following brief notes:

* installed 80 digital headends for the Q; over 600 total

* goal of 1.8M digital settops by the end of 1998. Going better than expected.

* re: the tax-free spinoff of NLC -- will make an additional
$50M equity investment in NLC and do an IPO. But, they will
leave other alternatives open, including an outright sale in
the future.

* market value of Broadcom investment is $140M

* Private investments in Wink Communications, WorldGate, Telesoft, and Music Choice

* TCI represented about 65% of GIC's digital settop shipments. Percentage should not change in the next few Qs.

* Headends -- GIC has about 45% of addressable mkt, about 20%
of RF headend market, and over 90% of digital headend mkt.

* Cable modems -- Everyone is waiting on a real MCNS modem,
and the numbers will kick up in 1999. Therefore, current
market share is not that important. A MCNS modem is being
built in to the DCT-5000 settop.

* Sold 1.6M digital & analog settops (in Q?). Number of
analog units is declining, but it will pick up when the international market takes off again.

* Status of Sony negotitions -- Sony transaction is not
complete. Scope of transaction has not changed. Still
working on a joint development agreement related to home
networking an "other projects."

* Settops -- Softness in the Brazilian market. Pickup in Argentina/Venezuela. Strong in U.K. and Spain.

* 2-3 "significant" customers are waiting for the availability
of DCT-2000 before they launch.

* Electronic Program Guide questions. Capabilities not limited
by the settops themselves.

* Settop add-ons in about two years. "Other functionality."
Sony?

* Discussion of WebTV. WebTV application software may be downloaded to the DCT-5000 and run from this settop.

* "New business opportunities coming to GI" -- cable
telephony and other unnamed opportunities. DCT-5000+.

* Discussion of smartcard-type access devices for settops. Somewhat different from the devices used in satellite systems.

* NLC estimates -- 1998 sales should be $40-50M. These numbers are "already in the que." (i.e., firm orders).

* Internet access through settops -- Working with Oracle NC
and with MSFT. They like Oracle NC. Talking and working with others. Some of this is being led by GIC's cable MSO partners/customers. Issues include how much of the internet access is done over the TV vs. done on the PC. Different
players fit into these two paradigms. Both are viable.

* 50/50 split between interest in (and sales of?) DCT-2000 and DCT-5000.

JFD