To: Gregg Powers who wrote (13244 ) 8/3/1998 12:53:00 PM From: tero kuittinen Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 152472
I'm not sure how it matters how GSM got into its current position in China. Bill Gates' mother apparently landed him the meeting with IBM executives that led to Microsoft's OS dominance. All the hand-wringing and second-guessing in the world haven't made one dent in the following success. Plenty of better operating systems have claimed superiority... none were able to overcome the market preference for one dominant standard. Are people in this thread really happy with the future where the US market is split between GSM, TDMA and CDMA? Is this really what Qualcomm proponents told us would happen back in 1996? I would contend that there are plenty of people who are surprised by the vigor of GSM and TDMA in America. As long as GSM and TDMA are strong in USA they dictate the pricing of CDMA phones. If CDMA manufacturers try to jack up prices, consumers will flock to competing standards. And this is a game Qualcomm can't win. It is a regional manufacturer, while Nokia is equally strong in China, Europe and USA. The gory downfall of European regional PC manufacturers showed us what happens to companies that cannot compete globally. The economic justifications for large-scale manufacturing are self-evident. Bigger R&D expenditure, lower unit costs, higher profit margins. Last quarter results were a school example. Qualcomm makes money by licensing, selling handsets, selling infrastructure and being an operator. Plenty of people seem to contend that wearing four hats is a benefit. In the past, companies engaging in this sort of strategy have been punished. Qualcomm's role as both the gatekeeper of IS-95 technology and a handset manufacturer has turned off plenty of companies, which have put the majority of their R&D expenditure into GSM and TDMA standards. The strategic benefit GSM derives from this is obvious. It's not too late, Gregg... denounce the dark side and join us... may the force be with you, Tero