To: Bill who wrote (17568 ) 8/4/1998 7:30:00 AM From: Craig Stevenson Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29386
Bill, <<don't you think it's time to step back and re-evaluate the fundamental tenets of the company? When revenue goes to near zero, every aspect of the operation needs to be examined.>> If you have followed my posts for the last couple of years, you will find more and more caution in them as Ancor has continued to fail to deliver on the promises made to investors. However, much of the excitement surrounding Ancor over the last year and a half or so comes from the switching segment of the Fibre Channel SAN market, which has yet to materialize. That's what I am waiting for. Granted, the lack of any other significant revenue reduces the company's value in the short term, but that seems to be reflected in the stock price. My position has also been drastically reduced, compared to what it once was, at least until I see some signs of life. If I didn't think the product was good, I would agree with you. However, I have seen the MKII up close, and I think Ancor knows how to design Fibre Channel switches. I think their problems have had more to do with being slow to implement features that customers wanted and/or needed, than with any inherent problems with the MKII. Hopefully, last quarter's numbers will convince them that they can no longer afford to stay behind the curve. To me, it has become a valuation issue. What is the technology worth? I think it is worth more than the current market cap. The way I figure it, a SINGLE OEM contract could be worth more than Ancor's current market cap. That seems too low to me, even if there is some additional dilution because of another financing deal. Obviously, I don't have all the answers to the ANCR question. I've been consistently wrong about the stock price, and the timetable for the rollout of Fibre Channel switches. I'm waiting for the OEM deals to start to be announced in earnest. If Brocade, McData, or Vixel/Arcxel get them all, then I think it will be time to start worrying in earnest. Craig