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Technology Stocks : Ampex Corporation (AEXCA) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Swamp Fox who wrote (3160)8/5/1998 1:06:00 PM
From: killybegs  Respond to of 17679
 
RE the block trade of 189200 shares at 12:08pm today, my understanding is that this was crossed by Bear Stears and represents the last piece of the selling done by the high yield fund which has been the seller since early July. Bear Stears represented both buyer and seller. With this clean up of stock, we may see finally see some daylight on the upside.



To: Swamp Fox who wrote (3160)8/5/1998 1:08:00 PM
From: Ed Perry  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17679
 
<< I'm hoping for 15 in 12 - 18 months. >>

That was some big block (200k) at lunchtime. Worth about the sum of the last 4 1/2 days total volume. However, notice how easily it was taken in stride. Price before (I presume sale) was 1 9/16 and after 1 1/2 - only 1/16 to accommodate this! I'm impressed.

It remains to be seen what the afternoon brings. This is a good test day of AXC's internal market strength. I don't have the resources to
"test" a market this way but I can certainly watch.

My hope is after the publishing of a full quarter's MicroNet and Ampex
combined financials and the rollout of the new product line (including glossies and trade press reviews) then an easy $4.00. Depending on what else is in the pipeline, there is the possibility of a more full valuation at about 7 to 8. I'm basing on Insider Trader's valuation and also the historical record of support resistance at this level. Six to nine months seems reasonable.

To go beyond into lala land, I would look for a rapid run up in price accompanied by sustained volume increases, significant percentage price appreciation relative to the extent of the base (or multiple bases) build and finally glowing earnings and revenues announcements. When two or three of these events become evident it will be time to head for the hills. I would give it a time frame of about two to three years.

Why say these things now? Who would even read this at that time? It matters very little.

Ed Perry

PS: what I really like about this one is that even if our hopes are unfounded and we are disappointed in our forecasts then in two to three years we will be selling out the line at 3 1/2. However, we will all have acquired more experience.



To: Swamp Fox who wrote (3160)8/5/1998 5:56:00 PM
From: HPilot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17679
 
So how far can it go up before basing? I'm looking at fundamentals and the prospects for future growth. TA is no longer a very high priority on buying stocks since I bought Telescan and TA screens do not do well. I have been looking at stocks with very low price to sales and good growth. When I bought it Inland had a price to sales of .2 and growth of something like 150%. And with the new internet gambling law I think it could go much higher. Of course I could be wrong. We were all wrong about AXC and lately I have been wrong about Engle Homes. Although I think the market is responsible for Engle and at least it comes back.

BTW. I am out of AXC at 1 3/4 and 1 5/8. Think NORMAN may have been right.