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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mkilloran who wrote (12744)8/6/1998 12:45:00 PM
From: betty moyers  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 23519
 
A logic problem

A new drug is launched. First week 100 new scripts are written. Each week 50 few scripts are written until it levels off at 50 new scripts. A script has enough units to last an average of 4 weeks. Half of the people using the drug continue to renew it. What do script numbers look like?

I get the following :

new refill

Week 1 100 0
2 95 0
3 90 0
4 85 0
5 80 50
6 75 97.5
7 70 137.5
8 65 180
9 60 220
10 55 257.5
11 50 292.5
12 50 325
13 50 355
14 50 382.5
15 50 407.5
16 50 432.5

I understand why Muse new scripts are 2200 and that number doesn't bother me. We should be growing at a rate of 2200/0.6 or 3500 new customers a week. It's the refills, where are the refills????