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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (23807)	8/10/1998 12:31:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard	Respond to of 94695

Jim, I am backtesting those scans now. Will have them this evening. monty

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (23807)	8/10/1998 7:14:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Here you go! Had to paste them under each other. If someone knows how to do it otherwise let me know. The 20 DMA shows the movement much quicker than the 200 DMA(think we already discussed that). One very interesting thing was how the Top 50 of the SP 600 held up before the down turn .... Date NYSE NASD NASD100 # % # % # % 07/16/98 1684 55.5% 2504 45.0% 71 71.0% 07/17/98 1654 54.5% 2470 44.4% 72 72.0% 07/20/98 1559 51.4% 2456 44.1% 68 68.0% 07/21/98 1335 44.0% 2205 39.6% 55 55.0% 07/22/98 1191 39.3% 2004 36.0% 46 46.0% 07/23/98 909 30.0% 1720 30.9% 37 37.0% 07/24/98 821 27.1% 1657 29.8% 37 37.0% 07/27/98 684 22.6% 1453 26.1% 39 39.0% 07/28/98 558 18.4% 1293 23.2% 28 28.0% 07/29/98 530 17.5% 1251 22.5% 27 27.0% 07/30/98 646 21.3% 1338 24.0% 34 34.0% 07/31/98 532 17.5% 1315 23.6% 25 25.0% 08/03/98 468 15.4% 1012 18.2% 24 24.0% 08/04/98 325 10.7% 746 13.4% 9 9.0% 08/05/98 309 10.2% 670 12.0% 11 11.0% 08/06/98 394 13.0% 859 15.4% 17 17.0% 08/07/98 535 17.6% 1178 21.2% 21 21.0% 08/10/98 490 16.2% 1066 19.2% 27 27.0% Date S&P100 S&P400 S&P 500 # % # % # % 07/16/98 69 69.0% 237 59.3% 303 60.6% 07/17/98 67 67.0% 237 59.3% 294 58.8% 07/20/98 60 60.0% 211 52.8% 275 55.0% 07/21/98 49 49.0% 163 40.8% 211 42.2% 07/22/98 47 47.0% 126 31.5% 214 42.8% 07/23/98 29 29.0% 101 25.3% 146 29.2% 07/24/98 21 21.0% 83 20.8% 123 24.6% 07/27/98 26 26.0% 69 17.3% 132 26.4% 07/28/98 22 22.0% 48 12.0% 87 17.4% 07/29/98 23 23.0% 55 13.8% 90 18.0% 07/30/98 35 35.0% 83 20.8% 126 25.2% 07/31/98 20 20.0% 58 14.5% 86 17.2% 08/03/98 15 15.0% 51 12.8% 80 16.0% 08/04/98 6 6.0% 27 6.8% 36 7.2% 08/05/98 10 10.0% 29 7.3% 47 9.4% 08/06/98 12 12.0% 52 13.0% 66 13.2% 08/07/98 14 14.0% 87 21.8% 82 16.4% 08/10/98 15 15.0% 55 13.8% 82 16.4% Date S&P600 R2000 # % # % 07/16/98 341 56.8% 1151 57.6% 07/17/98 330 55.0% 1100 55.0% 07/20/98 296 49.3% 1007 50.4% 07/21/98 238 39.7% 858 42.9% 07/22/98 202 33.7% 699 35.0% 07/23/98 150 25.0% 536 26.8% 07/24/98 137 22.8% 446 22.3% 07/27/98 113 18.8% 358 17.9% 07/28/98 89 14.8% 282 14.1% 07/29/98 98 16.3% 300 15.0% 07/30/98 116 19.3% 372 18.6% 07/31/98 76 12.7% 236 11.8% 08/03/98 59 9.8% 198 9.9% 08/04/98 33 5.5% 129 6.5% 08/05/98 42 7.0% 118 5.9% 08/06/98 94 15.7% 230 11.5% 08/07/98 157 26.2% 405 20.3% 08/10/98 132 22.0% 352 17.6% Date SP600 SP500 T50 T50 # % # % 07/16/98 46 92.0% 41 82.0% 07/17/98 46 92.0% 40 80.0% 07/20/98 46 92.0% 36 72.0% 07/21/98 46 92.0% 31 62.0% 07/22/98 44 88.0% 32 64.0% 07/23/98 43 86.0% 20 40.0% 07/24/98 43 86.0% 20 40.0% 07/27/98 42 84.0% 24 48.0% 07/28/98 40 80.0% 16 32.0% 07/29/98 37 74.0% 16 32.0% 07/30/98 39 78.0% 26 52.0% 07/31/98 36 72.0% 15 30.0% 08/03/98 35 70.0% 12 24.0% 08/04/98 30 60.0% 2 4.0% 08/05/98 31 62.0% 5 10.0% 08/06/98 36 72.0% 6 12.0% 08/07/98 35 70.0% 6 12.0% 08/10/98 34 68.0% 8 16.0%

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (23807)	8/10/1998 8:09:00 PM
From: Monty Lenard	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Jim, just to show the difference in the 200 DMA vs 20 DMA here is a comparison or NYSE & NASD. The % Chg represents the RATE of Change from the PREVIOUS DAY (Would MOMENTUM be the right word???) 20DMA %Chg 200 %Chg NYSE NYSE NYSE NYSE 07/17/98 54.5% -1.8% 49.7% -0.7% 07/20/98 51.4% -5.7% 48.1% -3.3% 07/21/98 44.0% -14.4% 47.0% -2.3% 07/22/98 39.3% -10.8% 45.9% -2.4% 07/23/98 30.0% -23.7% 41.9% -8.7% 07/24/98 27.1% -9.7% 41.6% -0.6% 07/27/98 22.6% -16.7% 40.1% -3.7% 07/28/98 18.4% -18.4% 38.0% -5.2% 07/29/98 17.5% -5.0% 37.7% -0.8% 07/30/98 21.3% 21.9% 38.7% 2.7% 07/31/98 17.5% -17.6% 36.0% -6.9% 08/03/98 15.4% -12.0% 34.4% -4.5% 08/04/98 10.7% -30.6% 30.1% -12.5% 08/05/98 10.2% -4.9% 29.2% -3.0% 08/06/98 13.0% 27.5% 30.3% 3.7% 08/07/98 17.6% 35.8% 32.6% 7.5% 08/10/98 16.2% -8.2% 31.0% -5.0% 20DMA %Chg 200 %Chg NASD NASD NASD NASD 07/17/98 44.4% -1.3% 37.4% -0.9 07/20/98 44.1% -0.6% 35.4% -5.5% 07/21/98 39.6% -10.2% 33.9% -4.2% 07/22/98 36.0% -9.1% 33.5% -1.1% 07/23/98 30.9% -14.2% 32.0% -4.4% 07/24/98 29.8% -3.7% 32.3% 0.6% 07/27/98 26.1% -12.3% 31.8% -1.5% 07/28/98 23.2% -11.0% 31.0% -2.4% 07/29/98 22.5% -3.2% 30.0% -3.3% 07/30/98 24.0% 7.0% 31.6% 5.5% 07/31/98 23.6% -1.7% 29.9% -5.3% 08/03/98 18.2% -23.0% 27.2% -9.3% 08/04/98 13.4% -26.3% 23.9% -11.8% 08/05/98 12.0% -10.2% 22.5% -5.9% 08/06/98 15.4% 28.2% 24.7% 9.6% 08/07/98 21.2% 37.1% 25.8% 4.3% 08/10/98 19.2% -9.3% 25.5% -1.1% This puppy had a relapse today. The only saving grace I see is the LOW VOLUME. Monty PS Jeez, I hope ANYONE will give me input if they see something I don't or if there is a better way to present this or if it should be presented at all :)