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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (23833)	8/10/1998 8:30:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins	Respond to of 94695

Monty; I really like this, the 20 DMA is more sensitive, and it's simple. Looks like 8/4 and 8/5 could be the low, in the overall market we gave up some today, but we could gain that back tomorrow. It's good just as it is. Thanx Jim

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (23833)	8/11/1998 12:12:00 AM
From: Gersh Avery	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Monty .. I've been driving myself out of my tree lately working over a excel sheet with the S&P 500. I've been looking at things like the rate of change of the rate of change of the rate of change of every MDA possible from 5 days to 280. There are several MDAs that show a stability of rate of change about every 90 days. These periods seem to last two or 3 weeks. At this time we are about half way through one of these periods. The 90 day MDA is in a down trend and the average rate of decline we are now seeing should continue for about another week or so. At least that is what I'm seeing in this number crunching wonderland. Gersh