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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (16395)8/10/1998 7:06:00 PM
From: J R KARY  Respond to of 213177
 
Hi Phil , Fidelity Investment's Johnson family also owns 5 % of IBM

Looks like they bought some of the "notes" and in total hold 12.8 % of AAPL . The Johnson family were early backers of L. Gerstner at IBM .

Their presence in IBM when made public brought in a lot more stable , long term money , and they have at least doubled the value of their IBM investment since then .

Now we must wish investment lightening strikes twice (but lets wait a while) !

Regards,
Jim K.



To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (16395)8/10/1998 7:10:00 PM
From: Phillip C. Lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213177
 
The consensus estimate on Apple's Q1 '99 (next quarter) has been
adjusted again from $0.59 to $0.60:

biz.yahoo.com

Hmmm..., it's getting better week by week and PE keeps dropping
based on those upgrading estimates. I am a little confused on how much is
Apple's cuurent stock real value due to its significantly improving
estimated earning status.

Phil



To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (16395)8/10/1998 7:46:00 PM
From: soup  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 213177
 
Fidelity's Impact. (Redux)

The following is a post I made earlier this year. Rare is the prophet who is recognized in their own time.

Thank you. No ... please. Thank you. You're too kind ... Thank you ...

:)

---------------------------------------------

>To: Andon (10161 ) (Trial Member)
From: soup
Thursday, Mar 26 1998 10:56AM ET
Reply # of 16397

Fidelity's Impact.

A 500K share buy just went through.

(link added in following post)

My guess is that the Fidelity Funds, in their hydra-headed fashion have been big
buyers of AAPL stock.

If an article I read about how Fidelity works is still accurate, an in-house analyst
has likely become quite bullish about the stock, and a number of fund managers,
with very different mandates/parameters for stock selection, are picking up on the
story and have long standing orders in with in-house traders to accumulate
substantial positions:

* Growth - rising earnings/expanding multiples from increased G3 sales, long term
software sales outlook for Quicktime/Rhapsody.

* Value - Cash rich, low price/book, price/sales, tech patents, brand name, user
base, etc.

* Index Funds

* Export/Global - AAPL has approx. 50% of revenues from overseas.

* Technology - Fidelity has 6 "Select" Funds with a tech focus that would almost
have to be holding *some* AAPL at this point.

* Technical - Fidelity has some notable "quant" managers who are reading the
same charts as people on this thread.

* Contrarian - Sentiment on AAPL prior to this quarter could not have been lower.
Funds that market themselves as "thinking different" would love to show AAPL on
their ledgers for this past quarter -- even if they only bought it in the last two
weeks!!

* Asset Allocation - AAPL's "r2" (correlation to the market as a whole) is very low.
For funds that market themselves for their "diversification value", this is very
important.

* Giant Funds - Assuming the 63 billion dollar Magellan Fund decided to allocate
even .25% of its assets to AAPL, that would be more than 6 million (5% of AAPL's)
shares at $25.

Bottom Line: Fidelity is very performance driven and has a lot of mouths to feed.

I can't wait to see the March 31 O'Neill's (due mid-April) to see which institutional
investors have been adding AAPL to their portfolio this past quarter.

If I'm right (and I almost always am) :), we should see a lot of fund managers
talking up AAPL stock *after* the quarter, now that they acquired their positions.

soup<

exchange2000.com



To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (16395)8/10/1998 10:00:00 PM
From: Sam Scrutchins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 213177
 
Did I hear $40 by tomorrow?

How about a breakaway gap, tomorrow, followed by another one on Wednesday????

Sam

P.S. This would likely also show as a long-term gap on the weekly and monthly.