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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: djane who wrote (51975)8/12/1998 10:20:00 PM
From: gbh  Respond to of 61433
 
Analyst says Ascend on track
CS First Boston said network equipment maker Ascend Communications
Inc. (ASND) gave an upbeat presentation at a networking conference in
Santa Clara, Calif. and the company is on track to hit revenue and
earnings estimates for the third quarter. Analyst James Parmelee said
Ascend's core switching and remote access businesses were strong in
July. Shares edged up 1/2 to 48.

cbs.marketwatch.com



To: djane who wrote (51975)8/13/1998 1:23:00 AM
From: Bindusagar Reddy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Very good ATM article with many ASND references zdnet.com

Inter@ctive WeekAugust 10, 1998

Core Switch Makers Ponder An
IP Future

Vendors start to identify strategies for
integrating Internet Protocol traffic into
core products

By Kathleen Cholewka

Technology Watch

The new service providers that aren't saddled to
legacy equipment like to talk about Internet Protocol
as the future of networking. But, at least for now,
they're making sure to deploy Asynchronous Transfer
Mode technology to offer services.

That's good news for the companies that make
Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM) core switches.
But even as these manufacturers rack up sales of
their ATM products, they are starting to develop
long-term plans to incorporate more Internet Protocol
(IP) technology into their product lines.

Level 3 Communications Inc., Qwest Communications
International Inc. and Williams Communications Inc.
are among the new service providers that have tested
and installed ATM switches as part of the core of
their fiber-based communications networks.

"As a wholesale provider, we need to take into
account the needs of carriers that have all types of
media in their networks," says Amy Reiber, senior
manager at Williams (www.wilcom.com), which uses
GX550 ATM switches from Ascend Communications
Inc. (www.ascend.com) in its network. "It's important
to use ATM because it offers quality of service," she
says. "There's also the ease of use it gives customers
who are connecting back into our network."

In many ways, these new carriers have no choice.
ATM is a proven technology that can handle different
forms of traffic effectively without delay. Its ability to
offer different qualities of service enables providers
to make service guarantees and offer differentiated
services with differentiated pricing -- something that
IP can't do just yet.

ATM's advantage on that front won't last forever,
however. "It's only a matter of time until IP is
perfected," says Niall Gallagher, senior manager at
Northern Telecom Inc. (www.nortel.com), a provider
of ATM core switches. "As IP networks get faster, the
issues of jitter and delay are going away."

As the performance gap between IP and ATM shrinks,
the debate over which technology to use will become
more intense. The big issue is whether investments
made now in ATM will look like the smart move five or
10 years from now.

"We've reached a funny stage," Gallagher says. "To
compete in offering IP services, providers have to
build ATM services."

The Big Switch

The coming together of the ATM and IP worlds has
equipment makers scrambling to articulate a
long-term strategy. Most manufacturers say they
expect the network's core to feature a mix of ATM
and IP -- although some aren't ready to say exactly
what that mix will be or how it will work.

"We're looking at IP very seriously right now, says
Joon Miller, director of product planning at Fujitsu
Network Communications. "We're looking to develop
an IP hybrid product. We're not sure whether we'll be
IP- or ATM-centric, but it has to be something in the
middle, like an IP router and ATM switch, to address
that market."

To date, however, Fujitsu (www.fnc.fujitsu.com) has
yet to announce an IP strategy for its core products.


Ascend continues to preach ATM. "Some vendors
would love you to believe that everything is going to
be IP," says Tim Krasky, vice president of marketing
for the core systems division at Ascend. "Well, SNA
[System Network Architecture] and frame relay and
voice are not IP. ATM is the best bet for those
multiple media types."

The key advantages of today's ATM core switches are
size and predictability. ATM core switches are big
and typically based on distributed processors with
high-speed interfaces and direct fiber connections.
They're built to carry large volumes of data at
incredibly fast speeds. And with voice migrating into
the core, the core itself becomes larger.

These monster switches do need some intelligence,
according to Krasky, such as being able to reroute
traffic automatically around a failed route through the
network via Switched Virtual Circuits. "There's no
market for stupid switches," Krasky says.

Some Of This, A Little Of That

Several ATM core switch makers say they will
develop terabit IP switch routers to accommodate IP
traffic in their networks. But those products won't
necessarily replace ATM at the network core, says
Fred Baker, chairman of the Internet Engineering
Task Force (www.ietf.org).

"It's a mix of engineering trade-offs," Baker says. "If
you need a muxed interface that can talk to
everything, then that'll be your choice. If you need a
point-to-point relationship between two routers, then
packet over SONET [Synchronous Optical Network] is
OK. They'll both have a place in the sun."

Baker notes that today's terabit products aren't ready
for heavy-duty core action. The segmentation and
reassembly chips that handle conversion between IP
and ATM formats aren't available at OC-48, or
2.4-gigabit-per-second speeds, he explains. "Until we
get a chip to handle framing at OC-48, we can't even
talk about terabit speeds," he says.

One knock against ATM is its high overhead when
compared with IP. With ATM, five bytes of every
53-byte cell is reserved for header information.

"Service providers say eliminating the cell tax could
pay for the line," Baker says. "There are costs and
benefits to each approach."

As the performance gap between IP and ATM shrinks,
the debate over which technology to use will become
more intense

Core Curriculum

Here's how key Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM)
core switch makers plan to handle Internet Protocol
(IP)

Vendor
ATM Core
Switch
IP Plans
Ascend
Communications Inc.
(www.ascend.com)
GX550 _---- Will develop terabit IP switch router

Cisco Systems Inc. (www.cisco.com)
BPX Sells TGX terabit switch router
Fore Systems Inc.
(www.fore.com)
ASX4000 Will develop hybrid ATM/IP core switch

Fujitsu Network
Comm.
(www.fnc.fujitsu.com)
FETEX-150 Will develop terabit IP switch router

NEC America Inc.
(www.nec.com)
ATOMNETM20 No IP plans announced

Newbridge Networks
Corp.
(www.newbridge.com)
MainStreetXpress
36190 Will develop hybrid ATM/IP core switch

(www.siemens.com) Same thing as NN





To: djane who wrote (51975)8/13/1998 1:50:00 AM
From: djane  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 61433
 
8/10/98 Electronic News article [ASND exec says it may announce 2+ acquisitions within next 3-6 months - see the last paragraph]
[This doesn't sound good short-term. Is the LU takeover premium history? I'm out.]

Excerpt: "Ascend, which has made eight acquisitions in two years--including last year's purchase of Cascade Communications Corp.--has a few more acquisitions up its sleeve. Mr. Fehrnstrom
added there are at least two other acquisitions that could be announced within the next three to six months, all of which should complement the company's existing business. "It's our intent to be
one of the top four telecom companies in the next few years," he said."

sumnet.com

From the Finance pages of Electronic News: August 10, 1998 Issue

Ascend Acquires Stratus

An $822M deal for Stratus' telecom division which makes SS7 switches; plan
for carriers to get integrated product for voice, data networks

By Heidi Elliott

Marlboro, Mass.--In a deal that surprised some and puzzled others, Ascend Communications
Inc. last week acquired Stratus Computer Corp. in an $822 million tax-free stock-for-stock deal.

Ascend purchased Stratus for its telecommunications division, which makes SS7 switches. These
switches, combined with Ascend's own IP and ATM products, will give telecom carriers an
integrated product for voice and data networks. Ascend will jettison the remaining divisions of
Stratus, it hopes, by the end of the year.

In announcing the acquisition, Ascend President and CEO Mory Ejabat said, "This combination
offers a new architecture for telephony networks...Our products, combined with Stratus' SS7
switches, OSS software and fault-tolerant platform, allow network services providers
cost-effective, reliable and transparent means to relieve congestion while reducing operating costs
on the Public Switched Telephone Network (PSTN), facilitate the integration of voice, fax and
data traffic networks through multi-service ATM switches, and provide new services to end users
such as Internet Telephony (fax and voice over IP), utilizing remote access switches."

The deal, leaked to the public before the official announcement, initially sent Ascend stock down
$7 a share, or 14 percent, as word of it buying a computer company left some analysts
perplexed, and company officials could not comment. "We knew if it got out that Ascend was
buying a computer company there would be a bad reaction. The story got out there without us
explaining why and we couldn't," said Ascend Senior VP of Business Development Ken
Fehrnstrom.
Added Ali Kafel, Director of Telecommunication Marketing at Stratus, "People
know us as just a computer company. We are more than just a computer company."

And, after last Monday's official annoucement and the accompanying explanation by
management, the stock began recovering. As of Friday morning, Ascend stock traded at
$48-3/4, up from the previous Friday's close of $44.47. Stratus stock on Friday morning traded
at $35-1/8, up from the previous week's $28.87.

Mr. Fehrnstrom explained the company bought Stratus for one of the four divisions, the telecom
carrier business which includes SS7 switches, Operations Systems Software (OSS) and
fault-tolerant platform. With the SS7 intelligent phone network switches, OSS and the platform,
Ascend can offer an integrated voice and data network. The remaining Stratus divisions are its
Enterprise Computing division and two software units, which Mr. Fehrnstrom believes can be
divested in short order "so we're left with the crown jewel of Stratus," he said. "Nobody had
figured out their potential, so we swooped in."


That "potential" was announced in March, when Stratus unveiled its intent to define an open
Internet Intelligent Network (IN) architecture capable of handling large amounts of Internet traffic
that telecom carriers would be required to handle. At the time, Stratus was working with large
carriers, including MCI, and network access equipment vendors, including Ascend, to specify an
open, industry-standard platform. Stratus' job was to supply the core fault-tolerant processor and
carrier-class telecommunications middleware for the new Internet Service Control Point (SCP)
platform.

"What we really saw was an opportunity where we could provide the 'brain' to the dumb data
switches to connect them to the public telephone network," said Mr. Kafel. "We started to talk to
(business partners) about it, and Ascend took it one step further. What this really gives us is 100
percent commitment to a switching technology, more than just a traditional partnership."


Stratus and Ascend executives also believe the merger opens up a $10 billion market for the new
Ascend to bridge the data and voice networks, in a market served primarily by traditional
telecom equipment suppliers.

The deal, where Stratus stockholders are given a .75 share of Ascend stock, or $33.35 per
share, will be accounted for as a purchase. There will be a $300 million to $350 million charge
for R&D write-offs and $80 million to $100 million charge related to the restructuring, taken in
the fourth quarter of the year. The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. In addition to
the downsizing of 350 employees already announced by Stratus, the merger should eliminate
another 150 positions. However, Stratus will not be taking the previously announced $20 million
restructuring charge in the current quarter.

Though the initial leak brought Ascend's stock down, Mr. Fehrnstrom contends it was a great
bargain. Subtracting Stratus' $277 million in cash, Mr. Fehrnstrom said, brings the cost of the
deal down to $550 million. Then, taking into account the three divisions to be sold that had a
combined revenue total of $400 million, the resulting purchase price for Stratus is $150 million.
Comparing that figure to the $200 million in expected sales this year, Mr. Fehrnstrom called the
acquisition "a sweet deal."
Also, Ascend executives expect a growth rate of 20 percent for
Stratus in 1999. On the sale of the other divisions, he said, "even if we're incredibly conservative,
we could sell those (divisions) at a fire sale and be okay."

Ascend, which has made eight acquisitions in two years--including last year's purchase of
Cascade Communications Corp.--has a few more acquisitions up its sleeve. [What?] Mr. Fehrnstrom
added there are at least two other acquisitions that could be announced within the next three to
six months, all of which should complement the company's existing business. "It's our intent to be
one of the top four telecom companies in the next few years," he said.
[Shouldn't this say telecom equipment supply company. I thought ASND was a data networker, not a telecom company. Am I missing something?]

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