To: Ed Ajootian who wrote (3397 ) 8/13/1998 9:39:00 PM From: Zeev Hed Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 5504
Ed, your thesis is interesting, but the facts are that no company is allowed to buy more than, I believe, 10% or 20% of the average trading per day (the number is now escaping me, but there is definitely a limit). For the sake of the following argument I will use the higher number. The stock's average trading is 400,000 shares per day, so any trading day they can buy no more than 80,000 shares. To buy the full 5,000,000 shares over the next three months (let say 65 trading days, they have to go in and buy everyday some 80,000 shares, long before they know if the well is a dud or a gusher. Corporations are not supposed to gamble on their own shares. In any event, their buying pressure will indeed keep the price in the range of $3.5 to $4.5/ share, and thus my $20 MM supposition is relatively accurate. Their buying will also provides all the upticks necessary for shorters to lay out the shorts they have not managed to lay out yet. Wake up to facts and leaves the personalities out of this argument. It is serious business and you have a lot of followers riding on your advice. Think for yourself and your followers what are the real repercussions of this buying, it is not MRK or IBM distributing tax free dividends via corporate buy back with excess cash, this was cash on which they pay interest and if the stock drops or even stay just in this range will mean another 35 MM shares over the next few years, what is the impact of buying back a lousy 5 MM shares when you are going to issue 35 MM shares? Last, they stated that it will eventually require a billion bucks to get those fields exploited, what are they doing spending this money on stock, when they will have to go back to the well for much more? They are in essence facilitating the task of the bandits by guaranteeing a buyer for the shorts being laid out. It is nothing short of a travesty and the SEC should be after their buts. Zeev