SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DavidG who wrote (37517)8/16/1998 2:09:00 PM
From: eddie r gammon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53903
 
Fabeyes if you want to respond by email just send it too Davidg@mu.com (g)

erg



To: DavidG who wrote (37517)8/16/1998 3:59:00 PM
From: Dave Gahm  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 53903
 
I think you are both a little confused, but at least Fabeyes is reaching the correct conclusion. Forget about earnings and focus on cash flow to get a clearer picture. MU had $227 million less cash at the end of the 3rd quarter than at the beginning. Of the cash on the books at quarter end $360 million was available to the semi business (conference call), with the rest being MUEI. This quarter may be a little better, but they will still burn around $150 million, based on management statements that capex would be about the same, and assuming a bit higher DRAM revenue. If so they will end the fiscal year with only about $200 million in cash, a dangerously low level if they expect to continue to upgrade.

If the TXN deal closes they will have additional fabs that generated an operating loss of $222 million for TXN in the most recent quarter. We know that the fabs are currently producing 16mb chips on a .30 or .35 process, we also know that MU says they will upgrade them to a .21 DUV process and make 64mb chips. This will take at least a year and about $1 billion to accomplish. During that period MU's losses and cash burn will rise dramatically. At current DRAM pricing a total per quarter cash burn of $400 million would be a reasonable SWAG. That $750 million from TXN is not going to last long...unless of course DRAM prices continue up and stay there.

Regards, Dave



To: DavidG who wrote (37517)8/17/1998 1:18:00 AM
From: Trey McAtee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
david--

please retract the claws, ok. it doesnt help much when you pounce on someone who has a veiw that differs from you.

you have always had more of an long bias to MU than a short bias. the fact is that as of friday, prices arent going up anymore. as for the upward pricing trend continuing through q1 1999, its doubtful at best.

loss of $0.25 for this q? THAT i doubt. maybe, if they hold a ton of inventory and mark it near the high for the q. whats your rationale for the number? i dont ask that facetiously BTW, i ask because i really want to know.

good luck to all,
trey



To: DavidG who wrote (37517)8/17/1998 2:16:00 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 53903
 
>>It appears that you are really going all out to compete with Skeeter for the #1 "forever bear" spot.<<

i'm #1? yessssssssss... ;-)