To: Berney who wrote (3502 ) 8/18/1998 6:59:00 PM From: MonsieurGonzo Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11051
Berney; RE:" CPQ - Breakout! " breakout, or... blowoff ? I sell (distribute) into that kind of demand, man: TechStocks are becoming short-term overbought . >But, I see that ADV/DEC line and want to vomit... Been that way all year... ( are there rules that the market is supposed to follow? Please post them here ;-) MDY and RUT.X still lag Berney's BigBoyz: people buy things that make/move the indices which are their indicators ; ie., narcissism . Most of them are momentum (herd) traders, we presume - hence the recent interest in old P&F techniques. You and I outdid the herd this time, Berney - we had position long before there was any momentum , based upon your F/A ValueInstinct for Retail, Drugz, and FinancialStox , and my MagicLines (^_^) >Two of the legs of the tripod look good, but health care is still mixed. Tough to sit on a two-legged tripod... Huh? DRG.X is up +7.43 today, or +1.10% (from 650 nominal to 675 this week) and it's a solid white candlestick. People weren't being defensive today - they were buying anything wearing a dress and high heels ;-) Retail also lagged Techs and Financials. Thats why I think that Financials will probably start to diddle around ~1% gains like the Drugz did today; then the Techs will blow off as the pros distribute DELL to the herd. Regarding your (good) observation, "health care is mixed today" - next time we do this, let's just accumulate DRG.X and XBD.X LEAPS , 1+2+3+4, sell 8 on the bounce, keep two free (profit) LEAPS in the fake money portfolio . It's about $5K per near-the-money LEAP. That way there is no specific risk from any individual stock pick, only sector risk and overall market risk , which are correlated and nearly equal in this economic environment; ie., the S&P ain't going up for long without Drugz and FinancialStox, as you also astutely observed. >You really seem to be a contrarian to play this market ! You gotta grab the candy away from them when they're scared shitless, and sell it back to them when they just gotta have it. But dig , baby - no matter what anyone tells you - America Is Not Going To Fail : we are the empire, so keep the faith ! Old Yiddish Saying (^_^) Buy a piece of cloth For three cents. Cut it into two pieces And sell each for two cents. Do this three times - Then buy two pieces of cloth. -Steve