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To: Roger Bodine who wrote (12467)8/21/1998 12:51:00 PM
From: Currency  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43774
 
Loving it. PRWT is rising again on a dow downer. Plus, DMRI running, too. STILL plenty of time to get in both, IMO.



To: Roger Bodine who wrote (12467)8/21/1998 1:32:00 PM
From: jhild  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 43774
 
Interesting that you would mention the dangers of devaluation. Since you brought it up you might find these articles of interest:

Several alarm bells were sounded on the collapsing state of the Belizean economy; deficit ridden budgets with a government that has been borrowing excessively, putting the external reserve position under pressure. According to the Central Bank figures, the Esquivel government already owes over $100 million to the domestic commercial banks, and had borrowed so recklessly from foreign sources (Taiwan, World Bank, CDB, Citicorp, etc) that Belize now has an external debt in excess of half a billion dollars (over $500,000.00) The tax and spend policies of the UDP, together with the tight credit squeeze they have put on the private sector, if allowed to continue, according to the IMF statement, "would eventually undermine the sustainability of the exchange rate peg."

This is serious, very serious language, coming from the IMF, who are known historically to be the teachers and preachers of devaluation. The gross mismanagement of the Esquivel regime has so weakened the Belize dollar that the masters of devaluation are now questioning whether the 2 to 1 rate at which the Belize dollar is pegged to the US dollar can be maintained. Somebody should tell the IMF to leave Belize alone!


belizetimes.com

And also this about an IMF report that apparently the current government has chosen not to be made public.

Belize City, August 13, 1998 The full IMF Report dated July 17, 1998 is now in our hands. The outgoing Prime Minister finds the timing very unfortunate, for it exposes the lies his propaganda machine has been spinning about what the IMF really says about the Belizean economy.

The very first paragraph of the report states that "By putting the burden of the adjustment on the private sector and weakening the profile of the external debt service, the eventual result of these policies [of the UDP] may be to undermine the country's potential output and competitiveness".

Very damaging to the Prime Minister is the fact that the IMF team highlights the very same trick that the PUP has been exposing for some time, that the reported international reserves "include balances from extraordinary loans [Taiwan] that are earmarked to finance specific expenditures in 1998". It then goes on to point out that "excluding such balances, net international reserves are estimated to have been only US$30 million at end-1997, with gross reserves equivalent to ONLY ONE MONTH OF IMPORTS". It states clearly, in bold letters, that "the underlying international reserve position of Belize remains fragile."

belizetimes.com