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Technology Stocks : TLAB info? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Carragher who wrote (3220)8/22/1998 8:02:00 AM
From: John Carragher  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 7342
 
Barron's trader some notes on tlab/cien



Wall Street's arbitrage community got burned Friday when Tellabs and
Ciena postponed shareholder meetings on their merger at the 11th hour,
sending shares of Ciena plunging 25 1/2 points to 31 1/4 .

Tellabs had planned to purchase Ciena, a maker of telecommunications
equipment that increases the capacity of fiber-optic cable. The stock swap
was initially valued at $7 billion. Both companies were scheduled to hold
shareholder meetings to ratify the deal Friday. But Ciena and Tellabs put off
their meetings after Ciena disclosed that AT&T is no longer considering the
purchase of its equipment, depriving the company of millions of dollars of
potential business.

Tellabs surged 5 3/16 to 62 7/16 Friday as arbitrageurs who had been long
Ciena and short Tellabs rushed to cover their short positions. The arbs also
dumped Ciena, contributing to its sharp selloff Friday.

Analysts speculated that the deal may be canceled. If the merger is salvaged,
it's expected that Tellabs will seek to renegotiate the terms, which originally
called for a share-for-share exchange of Tellabs stock for Ciena stock. After
the market closed Friday, Ciena issued a statement saying its business outlook
hasn't changed despite the AT&T setback and that it continues to recommend
shareholder approval of the merger. Tellabs is still assessing the situation.

The potential collapse of the deal stunned Wall Street, where it had been
viewed as a near-certainty as recently as Thursday, when the two stocks
closed within 1/2 point of each other. Ciena is down from a peak of 92 3/8 in
late July.

It's surprising that the Street remained so confident of the deal because only a
week ago Ciena signaled that its third-quarter profits would fall significantly
short of expectations.



To: John Carragher who wrote (3220)8/22/1998 3:07:00 PM
From: pass pass  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 7342
 
Hi John, I haven't done a lot of trading lately due to crazy day-job. Also, most of my tradings are bottom fishing. So I fished up CIEN/TLAB last week. Now, I have a big paper loss but I'll buy more CIEN. I'm betting on the fact that CIEN probably has the best technology otherwise TLAB wouldn't offer to buy it, it's just that CIEN has a lousy marketing. That's easy to fix. I also bet on TLAB needs CIEN more than CIEN needs TLAB from the technical point of view. CIEN offers TLAB a good way out in the post-SONET/SDH era.