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To: thomas hayden who wrote (14501)8/23/1998 12:36:00 AM
From: S. maltophilia  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25814
 
<< Two things that I think are important for the future of LSI, is one the growth of DVD.
If you think DVD will catch on in a big way this is probably a good one to own.>>

From this week's Barron's:
interactive.wsj.com@5.cgi?id=SB903739367300426000.djm&template=pj1-combo-nf.tmpl

DVD Stalls

The window of opportunity won't last forever, either

When the digital video disc first hit the shelves ("Magic Disc" April 28,
1997), we forecast it would soon sweep videodiscs, compact discs and
even videotape recorders into the dustbin of consumer-electronics history.
A year and a half later, the potential for DVDs remains largely unfilled --
and now time might be running out. The DVD launch is ahead of where
VCRs and CDs were at this stage in their life cycle, but it's going a lot
slower than predicted. DVDs are increasingly replacing computer CD
drives. But the same isn't true for personal entertainment, despite hundreds
of available DVD movie titles. "We are nowhere near a mass market yet for
DVD, and we really should be if you listened to its supporters," says Larry
Haverty, a senior vice president at State Street Research in Boston.

So, what went wrong? Depends on whom you talk to. Certainly the initial
cost of a player -- $500-1,000 -- didn't help. Neither did the initial dearth
of movies. But now a basic player costs as little as $300, and there are
nearly 2,000 movies on DVD priced between $20 and $30. In fact, most of
the big studios are now on the DVD bandwagon, including onetime holdouts
like Paramount and 20th Century-Fox.

Though the impact is hard to assess, Circuit City's move to launch a rival
digital-video format, called Divx, has clearly confused would-be buyers and
persuaded many to hold off for now. While Divx players are more
expensive, the discs are much less so -- since they typically self-destruct
after 48 hours. The basic question is whether digital video is for people who
want to own a movie forever or see it just once or twice.

That will be decided this fall when Divx goes national, and the initial
reception is not bullish. "I am convinced," writes one reviewer in the latest
issue of Stereo Review, "that Divx will be the biggest and most costly flop in
the history of consumer electronics."

But the biggest challenges facing DVD will be from rival technologies that
are still not fully in place, including digital videotape and video on demand
delivered over cable and satellite systems. "The window of opportunity to
create a mass market for DVD will be closed as video on demand becomes
available," says Warren Lieberfarb, president of the Warner Home Video
unit of Time Warner and one of DVD's loudest cheerleaders. There are
signs that DVD is beginning to catch on. DVD player sales hit new records
in the traditionally slack summer months of June and July, rising to an annual
rate equal to one million units. Divx promotion this fall will inevitably spur
further interest.

"Up to now stores selling DVDs have found it hard to justify large
promotions, but Divx will change that," says Bob Gerson, editor-in-chief of
This Week In Consumer Electronics, or TWICE. "The DVD player makers
will finance promotions to stand up to Divx. That's going to draw people
into stores and boost sales."

It had better. "DVDs have been around for some time now and people will
soon get bored," says Gerson. "When it comes to new consumer electronics
devices, you only get so many bites at the apple."

-Jay Palmer

To what extent does LSI need the movie market?



To: thomas hayden who wrote (14501)8/24/1998 8:37:00 AM
From: Gary  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
 
To all, does anyone know WHEN Sony will announce a new contract with LSI (or an extension) to make the Playstation chips? Thanks, and I agree this is a very important psychological factor for LSI investors and the market. GC



To: thomas hayden who wrote (14501)8/24/1998 2:50:00 PM
From: Jock Hutchinson  Respond to of 25814
 
Someone please correct me if I'm wrong but Symbios farms out
most of their manufacturing. I would think that a large part of
Symbios' manufacturing in the future will take place at the
Gresham plant.


Tom: Close. Symbios was about to farm out some future high end work, when it was taken over by LSI. However, those contracts were cancelled when LSI took over Symbios, since this next generation work will be done at Gresham. The emphasis is on next generation, so this will not add to the bottom line in the near future.

I also want to give another perspective to the remarks about Wilf taunting the shorts at Roby Stephens. LSI has been subjected to numerous rumors concerning its Sony business. These rumors have to date proven to be untrue. While it might be argued that LSI looks foolish attacking the shorts, when in less than a month LSI needs to preannounce, it might also be argued that Corrigan finally took the time to attack the rumor mongers who have been unfairly maligning LSI.