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Technology Stocks : DELL Bear Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: put2rich who wrote (1655)8/25/1998 8:47:00 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 2578
 
Hi thanh dao; All those special sound/video/interface cards
are getting stuck on a single chip.

As far as cables &c. goes, you eliminate these by putting
the components on the same board. Take a look at a
floppy disk drive from 5 years ago and compare it with the
current model. Note that the current model has a lot of
empty space on the PC-board.

Same with hard disk drive.

Cables are a sign of low integration. As integration increases,
the cables go away.

So do (most) of the adapter. cards. People just don't need
them anymore, standard computers are satisfying peoples'
needs.

Now put 2 and 2 together. Why do you have all those
cables and stuff to connect together a bunch of empty
PC boards and to allow replaceable components? They
are waste. So remove them. Put all the components on
a single PC board. Make your machine standard. Sure
it is harder to repair, but machines are running more reliably
every year, and having fewer cables &c. means a machine
that needs repair less often. No user serviceable parts.

A customer would have to be insane to want to swap the
floppy disk for an alternate model. So why not integrate it
onto the mother board? You eliminate the floppy cable.

Take a look at the new computer from Apple. It integrates
the monitor along with everything else. It appears to be
successful. This is what customers want, and this is what
is cheapest to build.

Look at the customers. People are buying machines and
never cracking the case. I can remember when you used
to have to be able to solder in order to connect up a printer.
Times are changing, in a very easy to predict way.

Computers are getting easier and easier to use, and this
trend will undeniably continue. Easier to use means that
they come with what you need and don't require hardware
modifications (like adding cards.)

The trend is to a simpler, cheaper, easier to use computer.
This is what the customer wants. This is what engineering
can deliver. This is where the bulk of the market is going.
The high end is going to be squeezed tighter and tighter.
Profits will drop off there, and so will the companies that
try to compete there.

-- Carl