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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Berliner who wrote (5861)8/26/1998 10:52:00 PM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
Paul,

OK, I'll concede the bear market if you'll concede the recession. The peso plunge in July '97 is indisputable, but that's almost exactly the time of the Thai drop. Growth rates were positive and increasing from '93 until then, and the currency was reasonably stable. I don't follow the local market closely, being too familiar with local business practices to even consider investing there. The market obviously slumped well before the general decline (though I'd still guess less than 4 years), but I still think you'd have to have been extraordinarily prescient to see that as a sign of regional instability, rather than a result of simple overvaluation of practically everything on the exchange.

If the peso keeps going the way it is, you won't need too many clams to snorkel around here. If nothing else, travel in Asia is a bargain these days.

On the subject of turning Hindu, I was somewhat surprised when my mother came through town recently - on her way to India to see her guru. I remember when they were all upset about the possibility that we might do that....

Steve



To: Paul Berliner who wrote (5861)8/26/1998 11:37:00 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9980
 
To anyone,

any idea what is holding up the yen?

Ramsey