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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Broken stocks - Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chester lee who wrote (1702)8/26/1998 10:06:00 AM
From: Q.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2506
 
Here's a mechanical screen for broken stocks that I call the low-
RS/neg-cash flow screen.

A year or two ago in AOL/TMF's shorting stocks folder I posted
monthly updates on this screen. For many months it worked quite well,
but then during a couple of months when small stocks soared this
screen got killed with big losses, so I quit following it then.

Just for the heck of it, I backtested it again in June and again
today. The results in this small-cap bear market are tremendous.

For example, 6/4 to 8/26/98, the average of the 25 stocks selected
that day dropped by 33%, compared to 14% for the Russell 2000.

The screen takes the 25 stocks with the lowest 18-week relative
strength that meet the following requirements:

price > $5
$20 M < market cap < $200 M
cash per share < 10% of stock price
p/b > 3
PSR > 2
30-day volume > 5 k / day

FWIW, Here are the stocks from the current list, starting with the lowest RS:

MARG 5.812
AND 6.875
POSS 6.875
DAQU 10.25
TAVA 6
SIEB 7
PLC 7.5
HOFF 7.375
BTIM 6.812
PILL 8.375
MOFN
ALYD
HMPS
WEBB
CYPH
FNDTF
ENER
FXEN
THNK
VINF
APOS
TSCN
AKRN
USL
SNDCF

Of these stocks, the only ones with significant short interest ratios are POSS, PLC, PILL, BTIM, and FXEN