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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Barbara Barry who wrote (26180)9/2/1998 8:38:00 AM
From: bobby beara  Respond to of 94695
 
BB, Stock prices move in cycles and we are in a cyclic low period.

bb



To: Barbara Barry who wrote (26180)9/2/1998 8:46:00 AM
From: Philipp  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Barbara:


The big one might come in October and I'll throw a guess out there:It won't just be the market,but rather an outside event that's going to get folks real upset! A long time ago I tried to start a little guessing game on this thread, so I'll try it again.Any other guesses...just for the fun of it?


You want some guesses on what could cause a big one? Here is a scary one: an open military coup in Russia. It could come as early as Friday/this week-end, the pretext being the impasse between the Duma and Yeltsin over the new government. Even scarier: it might have popular support. I should emphasize that I don't wish for that to happen, I'd rather lose some money in the stock market. While a non-ideological, pragmatic authoritarian regime might be good for Russia in the long run (there are certainly recent precedents), Hitler came to power under similar economical, political conditions! And there are several potential Hitler's on Russia's political scene.

I hope that I have not spoiled your breakfast, but this horror scenario has a non-negligible probability.

Regards,

Phil



To: Barbara Barry who wrote (26180)9/2/1998 8:58:00 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
<The big one might come in October and I'll throw a guess out there:It won't just be the market,but rather an outside event that's going to get folks real upset! A long time ago I tried to start a little guessing game on this thread, so I'll try it again.Any other guesses...just for the fun of it? >

My guess for the BK initiator: The resignation of the President of the United States: William J. Clinton. This is very possible now, his power and credibility have been drained. The best chance for his party's winning any seats in November, or the next presidential election is (unfortunately)Al Gore in the Driver's seat.

I'm no political scientist, but hey, Willie's a lame duck and a target now. It's not hard to nail a lame duck target.

Prepare your Portfolio for the Presidential Pounding. Sell.

TW