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To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (51607)9/5/1998 4:03:00 PM
From: j g cordes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 58727
 
Here's as close to the hole as I'll be posting.. <g>

search.washingtonpost.com



To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (51607)9/5/1998 9:43:00 PM
From: Suresh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Hi Patrick,

cycle theory makes logical sense to me (atleast long term cycles) as applied to indices. Most of the companies in the index are mature and strong companies. So, if the theory that big cannot keep going bigger every year forever, we can see a problem in earning comparison after 3 or 4 years. So, one year after poor earning comparisons they will resume the upward move since comparison yardstick has been moved down.

I am really amazed at the cash and future market behavior this week. Cash was leading futures most of the time. In my limited experience this had happened only during flurry of earnings being reported but not otherwise. Is this a case of position unwinding before future expiration ? If I remember correctly someone was indicating that weeks leading to triple witching generally moves in the direction of market movement for the period. So, I guess spoo's wants the market to tank going into expiration.

-Suresh