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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: donald sew who wrote (51724)9/7/1998 6:15:00 PM
From: Nancy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 58727
 
Hi Don,

No, I dont think we will resume to an uptrend, but I suspect the severe downtrend is abated, at least for next week. :)

No, we will not rocket back to 9400 - fundamentals only went from bad to worse and we will hear more earnings warnings very soon. HWP just said that US has cooled down a lot and the evidence will show in next few months.

What AG did is to try to stop the panic selling, especially in financial stocks, the banks etc. by suggesting that liquidity will be put back in the system if things really get out of hand, and to ease the fear of a recession. While the market has lost a big chunk, the losses in the financial stocks just last week alone, is daunting. And these are no small caps.

Oh, dont forget Rubin needs to engineer a better environment for Goldman's IPO - hence it is important to stem the decline in MER & MWD ... There is a lot of manupulation going on ...

In 1997, market rallied about 3% on 11/3, only to lose it all in next 7 trading days, but it did not test the panic lows. Then it proceeded to move back up till mid Dec before lost it all again.

We could very well be in this kind of pattern again.



To: donald sew who wrote (51724)9/7/1998 8:04:00 PM
From: Eddie Kim  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Donald,

I've been following your analysis for awhile as you know. I was wondering though...you seemed to have a market bias...the bias is a negative one. For example, has the DOW ever corrected ~20% and then rebounded sharply. You seem to be using 1973 as a measuring stick...but that might not be so wise. Furthermore, if the FED lowers rates...how does this effect your analysis?

Just asking,

Eddie