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To: mauser96 who wrote (2515)9/9/1998 4:54:00 PM
From: growthvalue  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3424
 
Don't get me wrong, I was just being nit-picky - I don't actually happen to think the "random walk" theory is correct. I also don't think that the statistics stack the deck.

I had a professor once who believed in the random walk and argued that although it SEEMED that some mangers outperform the market, if you adjust the performance of the outperformers by risk, then they actually aren't outperforming the market. But this is somewhat tautological because "risk" is in part function of the degree to which a stock's performance diverges with the averages. In other words, I'm pretty sure that a stock that outperforms the averages is riskier than the averages by the popular academic definition.