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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (52446)9/13/1998 2:09:00 AM
From: MonsieurGonzo  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 58727
 
L2_aka_L3; RE:" SPX target ~1040 "

>bullish chart patterns... since Thursday

yes; would think that further upside extent would be dependent upon whether the banks, brokers and insurance companies can manage more than a one or two-day gain -- they have been unable to do so since July. The implosion of our NF.X -Financial Sector remains the driving force of the major market indices.

The XOI/OIX.X - BigOil sector appears to be near the top of its DownTrend channel. I'm assuming that much of their recent apparent strength is a result of: USD devaluation; its effects on CL98Z - CrudeOil Futures; and, the sector's over-sold state.

The DRG.X RLX.X and NDX.X sectors are trying to dig their way up from the AUG-28/29/31 stock market crash. In light of the moribund state of our traditional industrial cyclicals, machinery & equipment sectors - these are the only three legs upon which our stock market is trying to stand.

I don't believe that it's enough... we're not going anywhere without our banks; and if we did so - the apparent gains in equity valuations would be illusory: the USDollar has lost more than 6% of its real value in the last 12 days... if you did not increase (your USDollar-denominated) net worth by +6% in the last three weeks - you lost money via the negative wealth effect.

Welcome to deflation, America -- we are witnessing not the erosion of equity values, but the destruction of kapital itself.

Slipped in amidst all the noise ( as OJ calls it :-) on Clinton last Thursday and Friday, our Congress quickly moved a sweeping Financial Sector De-Regulation Bill out of committee, where it has been languishing for more than 20 years...

dailynews.yahoo.com

...both Chairmen of the Boards of MWD and MER, as well as other powerful men in the financial sector, have given Congress a reality check, we can presume -- sometimes, ladies and gentlemen - you must govern. Let us hope that they do something other than sit around waiting for the poll (from us) to tell them what to do about Bubba :-|

lessee now, SPX.X is at 1009.06

1012.9 - fibonacci and 1017.03 - 14d EMA

~1029. - fibonacci and belthold area

1045.7 - fibonacci and DownTrend Line {closing prices}

~1057x - last horizontal support and DownTrend Line {high prices}

The 200/50d EMA will probably be resistance at good old ~1060 area.

And those are the magic lines on my chart, FWIW, mon ami (^_^)

-Steve