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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: VICTORIA GATE, MD who wrote (10827)9/18/1998 3:46:00 PM
From: cheryl williamson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
Oops!...MSFT Goofs with Web-TV.
Another $400 million down the drain?
techweb.com

Microsoft's WebTV set-top box may vanish
within two years, as consumers turn to
lower-priced PCs and digital-television
receivers to access the Internet at home,
according to analysts.

"The set-top box on its own really has no
future," said Paul O'Donovan, consumer
applications analyst at Dataquest, in Egham,
Surrey in the United Kingdom. "The
stand-alone set-top box will just disappear.
They will probably disappear in the next 18
months to two years as digital television
arrives."

"WebTV hasn't been too successful because
they are offering the box to people who are
neither PC- nor electronic device-literate,
and only reaching a small market," he said.



To: VICTORIA GATE, MD who wrote (10827)9/18/1998 8:01:00 PM
From: energy_investor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
But, looking ahead a few more years ....

jos.org

Java plus the Linux open development paradigm -- who knows?



To: VICTORIA GATE, MD who wrote (10827)9/19/1998 3:46:00 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
CS first boston says 2.25 for June ending year.
Greg Moeffi already indicated 2.20 range. But
as you see rest of the analysts haven't caught up
yet. I see MSFT doing 2.50 to 2.67 for FY99.

Currently at 105, the stock is trading at 47 times
the FY99 of Moeffi's forecast, 46 times CS first
Boston estimate, and 40 times my estimate. It is
very hard to predict short term but I see reasoanable
probability to get back to previous peak of 120 by
October 20th and then to 150 to 190 range by mid next
year. We will see the next split by Sept - Nov 99 when
stock gets to 160 to 180 range. The only thing that
amazes me is that that 20MSFTG would have a market cap
of $500 Billion, ya, that is 1/2 a trillion.

johnd