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Technology Stocks : The Learning Company (TLC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas C. Donald who wrote (5737)9/19/1998 11:35:00 AM
From: paul richards  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6318
 
well doesn't that explains it !

when TLC started buying all those companies this spring, all the analysts were forecasting hugh marketshare, as much as 46%! (just read them, courtesy of Tom.) so TLC spiked to $33. but then reality set in.

PC Data Share :

Jan 26%
Feb 34.2%
Mar n/a
Apr 35.9%
May 37.%
June 31%
July 31%
Aug 34% (includes Brod's 5% which means TLC was only 29%!)

so what happened ? someone forgot to forecast lower summer growth?
wasn't spending $300m more, worth flat growth?
how about share dilution from Dec31/97 of 67M to Aug/98 110m ?
(I suppose you expected this and the lower share prices!)

what's next? ...
BTW: do you expect the competition (Microsoft and Humongous)to roll over just for you?