To: Steve Fancy who wrote (8365 ) 9/21/1998 5:16:00 PM From: Steve Fancy Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 22640
Emerging mkt debt climbs on better Brazil outlook Reuters, Monday, September 21, 1998 at 16:58 NEW YORK, Sept 21 (Reuters) - Emerging market debt prices climbed on Monday on renewed hope that Brazil, Latin America's bellweather economy, would be able to tide a financial crisis, at least until after the elections scheduled for Oct 4. "Some calm has returned to the market...as panic about something really bad happening in Brazil is gone," said John Welch, chief economist for Latin America at Banque Paribas. Higher short-term interest rates in Brazil and an informal understanding for a stand-by multilateral package from the International Monetary Fund, the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) and the World Bank has boosted Brazil's markets. Brazil has been fighting against large outflow of capital that has brought down foreign exchange reserves to around $50 billion from $70 billion this summer. "The possibility of a reasonable stand-by line of credit out of Washington - with the IADB, IMF and the World Bank" is providing support to Brazilian bonds, Welch said. Moreover, technical factors are providing support for bench mark securities including the "C" <BRAZILC=RR> and the shorter-maturity IDU bonds, traders said. Wall Street dealers are short the securities while Brazilian institutions such as the Banco de Brazil are long the bonds. As traders either borrow or buy the bonds to close out short positions, the dollar-denominated bonds have robounded in price, traders said. Brazil "C" bonds were up 1-5/8 to 61-3/8 and Brazil IDUs were up 1/2 point to 84-7/8. Meanwhile, an IMF official in Washington said capital flows into emerging market countries have slowed to a trickle: $2.5 billion in August, down from $17.3 billion in July, said Charles Adams, IMF deputy chief economist. Meanwhile, in Russia, Mikhail Zadornov, the acting Finance Minister, promised foreign investors the same treatment as domestic creditors in the payment of $40 billion of frozen government debt. Russia's benchmark PRIN bonds <RUSPRIN=RR> were marginlly higher by 1/2 point, but still trading at 7-3/8, a level that is pricing in the possibility of default, traders said. Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service