To: Dorine Essey who wrote (80 ) 9/24/1998 5:02:00 PM From: Anthony Wong Respond to of 327
The following article explains the weakness in the nutraceutical sector: 09/18 15:34 RESEARCH ALERT - HSBC starts TwinLab as accumulate NEW YORK, Sept 18 (Reuters) - HSBC Securities has started coverage of TwinLab Corp. <TWLB.O> with an "ADD" rating, the firm said Friday. This rating, which is one step below buy, could be called accumulate, a spokeswoman explained. The stock was holding onto a two point gain, at 34-5/8 in the final hour of trading Friday, after reaching an intraday high of 34-1/8, -- HSBC describes Hauppauge, N.Y., based Twinlab as a manufacturer and marketer of vitamins, minerals, and nutritional supplements. The company is part of the nutraceutical industry which had estimated 1997 U.S. revenues of roughly $10 billion and is growing at a compound annual growth rate of 15-20 percent, the firm noted. -- It said the major players in the nutraceutical industry are TwinLab, NBTY Inc's <NBTY.O> Nature's Bounty, Rexall Sundown Inc. <RXSD.O>, General Nutrition Cos Inc. <GNCI.O> and Weider Nutrition International Inc .<WNI.N>. "Combined, these companies accounted for $1.95 billion in annual revenue in 1997, or approximately 20 percent of the domestic nutritional supplement market. -- TwinLab and many of its competitors experienced a steep decline in stock prices in the past two months, prompted by GNC's announcement regarding margin pressures, HSBC said. -- It pointed out the decline came at a point where the industry was demanding high multiples , adding TwinLab is now trading at 20.1 times estimated 1999 earnings of $1.62 per share, down from a high of 28x in June. -- The firm said pricing pressure from GNC should not have a significant impact on TwinLab, as GNC accounts for only 10 percent of the company's revenue, and currently TwinLab has been expanding its distribution through mass market retailers. -- It said TwinLab experienced strong revenue growth of 57 percent during the first half, due in part to its association with Wal-Mart Stores Inc. <WMT.N>, and is expected to maintain a long-term growth rate of 25 percent per year.