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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 12:11:00 PM
From: gizelle otero  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Going short now. $107.5 . Looking to break $100 on the downside this afternoon. No one wants to hold over the weekend.



To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 12:13:00 PM
From: Jay8088  Respond to of 164684
 
Thank you for your excellent analysis. I think it summarizes the fundamental situation of AMZN very well.

-A permabear in recovery ward.



To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 12:15:00 PM
From: Herring  Respond to of 164684
 
Agree! The crazy thing is that nobody really believes it is worth this much, but most people agree that it will go up. It then goes up. When this thing falls it will fall hard. There is a lot of Vegas money in this stock, including mine. I think however short term that the stock will go down due to the dilution happening. All the insiders are selling, and they would be crazy not to.

IMHO

Herring



To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 12:27:00 PM
From: IceShark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Rob, very good analysis of the situation. But who the heck knows when reality sets in on the stock price. There are just too much mechanical supply/demand factors going on with the trading to see any realistic pricing of the stock. It will sort itself out one day.

One other item is the incentive stock options. With the price so sky high AMZN is going to have a real problem with employees when it crashes back down. Unless they are going to reprice the options,
which, some day, shareholders are going to wise up to and spank companies that do it.

Regards, IS



To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 1:53:00 PM
From: Jan Crawley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Super analysis, thanks.

Current Amzn position : 200 box-trading shares
2 Nov 100 uncovered call, premium $15 1/2
1 Nov 110 uncovered call, premium $18.
Sold One Oct 70 put contract, $9 premium; can close it now for $1 1/2.

Comments?



To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 2:18:00 PM
From: M. Frank Greiffenstein  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Nice job Rob....

Very well reasoned hatchet job on AMZN. Much better than the undeserved one you did on TAVA <g>. You just forgot to mention book value of 79 cents a share.

I went short AMZN yesterday. Today's surge in AMZN does not bother me. I just shorted some more. Hedged off with some out of the money calls.

DocStone



To: Rob S. who wrote (18440)9/25/1998 2:35:00 PM
From: Gordon A. Langston  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
If AMZN were not such a popular trading vehicle the MM's would have walked this down in an orderly fashion by now..and of course gotten their pound of flesh from it. I think they resent the shorts trying to get some of their money.

When the air comes out of this, it will be a hurricane without the warning.